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Mjallby vs Degerfors Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Strandvallen, Hällevik
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mjallby host Degerfors in the Allsvenskan. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Mjallby at 1.4 goals for, 1.67 against; Degerfors at 1.19 for, 1.56 against. Head-to-head, Mjallby have won 5 to Degerfors's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 1:4. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.88, favoring Mjallby. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Mjallby
20%
Draws
48%
Degerfors
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Degerfors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Mjallby at 1.4 per game, Degerfors at 1.19.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mjallby have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Mjallby Clean Sheet 10%
Degerfors Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mjallby Degerfors
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.4 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Mjallby
1:4
Sep 13, 2025 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Mjallby
0:1
Apr 27, 2025 Allsvenskan
Mjallby vs Degerfors
4:1
Nov 12, 2023 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Mjallby
1:2
Apr 16, 2023 Allsvenskan
Mjallby vs Degerfors
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mjallby 34 / 100
Degerfors 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mjallby Degerfors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Degerfors Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Degerfors has conceded goals in 89% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Mjallby scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: Degerfors registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mjallby VS Degerfors
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mjallby

(Home)
20 Sept
Mjallby
0 : 3
GAIS
16 Sept
AIK
1 : 1
Mjallby
11 Sept
Hacken
1 : 1
Mjallby
07 Sept
Mjallby
1 : 4
IFK Goteborg
03 Sept
Mjallby
0 : 2
Djurgarden
Page 1 of 6

Degerfors

(Away)
20 Sept
Degerfors
0 : 1
Hammarby
14 Sept
Sirius
2 : 0
Degerfors
05 Sept
Degerfors
2 : 0
Halmstad
29 Aug
Elfsborg
2 : 0
Degerfors
23 Aug
Brommapojkarna
2 : 0
Degerfors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 52:28 51
2 Hammarby 22 13 4 5 49:20 43
3 Djurgarden 22 13 2 7 47:21 41
4 Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 31:22 37
5 Hacken 22 9 9 4 39:30 36
6 Vasteras SK 22 10 5 7 34:35 35
7 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 37:33 33
8 AIK 22 9 6 7 31:34 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 9 5 8 31:41 32
10 GAIS 22 8 6 8 28:20 30
11 Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 30:36 27
12 Mjallby 22 5 7 10 27:38 22
13 Kalmar 22 5 4 13 21:36 19
14 Degerfors 22 5 4 13 19:34 19
15 Orgryte 22 3 6 13 25:49 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 16:40 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)