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Mjallby vs Lincoln Red Imps

Europe Europe

Champions League Strandvallen, Hällevik
Tue, Jul 21, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Champions League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Lincoln Red Imps have shipped 0.6 goals a game lately, while Mjallby have conceded 0.75 and scored 1.88. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.24 xG vs 1.38) point toward Lincoln Red Imps. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Mjallby
6%
Draws
90%
Lincoln Red Imps
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lincoln Red Imps

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Lincoln Red Imps have won more games recently than Mjallby.
  • Win probability leans Lincoln Red Imps's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Lincoln Red Imps arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Mjallby Clean Sheet 17%
Lincoln Red Imps Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mjallby Lincoln Red Imps
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 12 22
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 1.88 2
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mjallby 10 / 100
Lincoln Red Imps 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mjallby Lincoln Red Imps

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mjallby scored in 73% of their last 26 outings.

Recent resilience: Mjallby stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Lincoln Red Imps let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mjallby VS Lincoln Red Imps
1.88 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.6
75% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Mjallby

(Home)
11 Jul
Mjallby
1 : 2
AIK
03 Jul
Sirius
4 : 4
Mjallby
27 Jun
FC Copenhagen
5 : 3
Mjallby
24 Jun
Mjallby
3 : 3
Halmstad
25 May
IFK Goteborg
1 : 1
Mjallby
Page 1 of 6

Lincoln Red Imps

(Away)
14 Jul
Inter Escaldes
1 : 1
Lincoln Red Imps
07 Jul
Lincoln Red Imps
3 : 1
Inter Escaldes
25 Apr
Lincoln Red Imps
4 : 1
Lynx
18 Apr
Lincoln Red Imps
2 : 0
Europa FC
11 Apr
Lions Gibraltar
1 : 1
Lincoln Red Imps
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Mjallby-
TBD-
Lincoln Red Imps3
Inter Escaldes1
Tre Fiori0
Larne1
TBD-
Crvena zvezda-
Sabah Baku2
TNS0
Vardar0
KuPS2
Klaksvik2
Bissen1
FK Kauno Zalgiris1
Drita1
Aarhus-
TBD-
TBD-
Lech Poznan-
Ararat-Armenia2
Riga FC0
Floriana2
Shamrock Rovers0
Borac Banja Luka1
Levski Sofia1
ML Vitebsk1
Univ. Craiova4
Omonia-
TBD-
Kairat Almaty2
Sutjeska1
Thun-
TBD-
TBD-
Din. Zagreb-
Vikingur Reykjavik1
Gyor0
TBD-
H. Beer Sheva-
Flora2
Iberia 19993
TBD-
Slovan Bratislava-
Petrocub Hincesti1
KF Egnatia1
TBD-
Celje-
Fenerbahce-
TBD-
TBD-
Gornik Zabrze-
Sturm Graz-
TBD-
TBD-
Hearts-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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Quarter-finals
Mjallby-
TBD-
TBD-
Crvena zvezda-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Aarhus-
Lech Poznan-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Omonia-
TBD-
Thun-
Din. Zagreb-
TBD-
H. Beer Sheva-
TBD-
Slovan Bratislava-
TBD-
Celje-
Fenerbahce-
Gornik Zabrze-
Sturm Graz-
Hearts-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
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TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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Final
TBD-
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