Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mjondalen vs Arendal

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 Consto Arena, Mjøndalen
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Marthinussen S.
47' Event
Bruusgaard J.
49' Event
Arsbog N.

AI Match Summary

Mjondalen in this Division 2 - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mjondalen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Mjondalen
39%
Draws
31%
Arendal
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mjondalen lately — more wins on the board than Arendal.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Mjondalen have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Mjondalen Clean Sheet 20%
Arendal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mjondalen Arendal
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 14 7
Draws 4 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Mjondalen vs Arendal
4:1
Sep 17, 2017 OBOS-ligaen
Arendal vs Mjondalen
0:1
Apr 2, 2017 OBOS-ligaen
Mjondalen vs Arendal
2:1
Feb 11, 2017 Club Friendly
Mjondalen vs Arendal
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mjondalen Compare

Top Goalscorer Marthinussen S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bruusgaard J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Arendal Compare

Top Goalscorer Dvergsdal T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mjondalen 31 / 100
Arendal 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mjondalen Arendal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MJO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arendal has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Mjondalen's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Mjondalen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mjondalen VS Arendal
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mjondalen

(Home)
27 Jun
Mjondalen
1 : 0
Bjarg
20 Jun
Notodden
1 : 2
Mjondalen
13 Jun
Mjondalen
3 : 3
Kvik Halden
31 May
Pors
1 : 0
Mjondalen
23 May
Mjondalen
4 : 0
Sandviken
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Arendal

(Away)
27 Jun
Pors
2 : 4
Arendal
21 Jun
Arendal
3 : 1
Traeff
13 Jun
Eik-Tonsberg
0 : 0
Arendal
31 May
Arendal
1 : 1
Sotra
25 May
Lysekloster
1 : 1
Arendal
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jerv12102025:1032
2Brattvag1281322:925
3Kvik Halden1273222:1324
4Mjondalen1272322:1523
5Bjarg1271422:1922
6Sotra1253424:1318
7Notodden1253419:1118
8Traeff1244423:2116
9Pors1243514:1715
10Arendal1225514:2011
11Lysekloster1225515:2411
12Sandviken1232711:2211
13Eik-Tonsberg1211108:264
14Vidar120399:303
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)