Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mjondalen vs Jerv

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 Consto Arena, Mjøndalen
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Sub
Kvinge M. In: Alanko S.
Out: Kvinge M.
16' Event
Alanko S.
42' Event
Alanko S.

AI Match Summary

Jerv in this Division 2 - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jerv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Mjondalen
15%
Draws
58%
Jerv
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jerv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jerv lately — more wins on the board than Mjondalen.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Jerv taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Mjondalen Clean Sheet 10%
Jerv Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mjondalen Jerv
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 17
Draws 3 4
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.55 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Mjondalen vs Jerv
0:3
Apr 12, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Jerv vs Mjondalen
1:0
Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Jerv vs Mjondalen
3:4
Nov 30, 2024 Division 2 - Group 1
Jerv vs Mjondalen
1:3
Nov 24, 2024 Division 2 - Group 1
Mjondalen vs Jerv
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mjondalen Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Jerv Compare

Top Goalscorer Alanko S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Syvertsen P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mjondalen 10 / 100
Jerv 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mjondalen Jerv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jerv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Mjondalen scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Jerv let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Mjondalen remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mjondalen VS Jerv
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mjondalen

(Home)
12 Sept
Lysekloster
2 : 3
Mjondalen
05 Sept
Mjondalen
0 : 3
Jerv
30 Aug
Bjarg
1 : 0
Mjondalen
22 Aug
Baerum
4 : 0
Mjondalen
15 Aug
Mjondalen
2 : 1
Eik-Tonsberg
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Jerv

(Away)
13 Sept
Jerv
3 : 1
Brattvag
05 Sept
Mjondalen
0 : 3
Jerv
30 Aug
Jerv
1 : 0
Pors
22 Aug
Fram
1 : 2
Jerv
16 Aug
Sandviken
2 : 2
Jerv
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jerv 19 14 3 2 41:18 45
2 Sotra 19 11 3 5 41:17 36
3 Brattvag 19 11 3 5 38:23 36
4 Bjarg 19 11 2 6 36:25 35
5 Mjondalen 19 11 2 6 33:26 35
6 Notodden 19 9 5 5 26:15 32
7 Kvik Halden 19 9 4 6 28:22 31
8 Traeff 19 8 6 5 35:30 30
9 Arendal 19 7 5 7 27:30 26
10 Pors 19 5 5 9 20:27 20
11 Sandviken 19 5 4 10 29:42 19
12 Lysekloster 19 3 5 11 21:40 14
13 Eik-Tonsberg 19 2 1 16 20:44 7
14 Vidar 19 1 4 14 17:53 7
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)