Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mjondalen vs Sotra

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 Consto Arena, Mjøndalen
Mjondalen Logo

Mjondalen

3 - 1
FT
Sotra Logo

Sotra

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Midtgard O.
29'
Larsen E.
30' Event
Midtgard O.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Group 1 game between Mjondalen and Sotra finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mjondalen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Mjondalen
15%
Draws
57%
Sotra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sotra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Sotra carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Sotra taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Mjondalen Clean Sheet 10%
Sotra Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mjondalen Sotra
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 14 16
Draws 3 4
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.57 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Mjondalen vs Sotra
3:1
Apr 25, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Sotra vs Mjondalen
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mjondalen Compare

Top Goalscorer Midtgard O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bringaker M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Sotra Compare

Top Goalscorer Kilen L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mjondalen 10 / 100
Sotra 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mjondalen Sotra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sotra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Mjondalen found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Sotra let in goals in 59% of their last 27 matches.

Solid form: Mjondalen remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mjondalen VS Sotra
1.38 Goals Scored 2.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mjondalen

(Home)
12 Sept
Lysekloster
2 : 3
Mjondalen
05 Sept
Mjondalen
0 : 3
Jerv
30 Aug
Bjarg
1 : 0
Mjondalen
22 Aug
Baerum
4 : 0
Mjondalen
15 Aug
Mjondalen
2 : 1
Eik-Tonsberg
Page 1 of 6

Sotra

(Away)
16 Sept
Sotra
1 : 2
Sogndal
12 Sept
Sotra
3 : 0
Sandviken
05 Sept
Sotra
3 : 0
Vidar
30 Aug
Eik-Tonsberg
1 : 3
Sotra
22 Aug
Froya
0 : 6
Sotra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jerv 19 14 3 2 41:18 45
2 Sotra 19 11 3 5 41:17 36
3 Brattvag 19 11 3 5 38:23 36
4 Bjarg 19 11 2 6 36:25 35
5 Mjondalen 19 11 2 6 33:26 35
6 Notodden 19 9 5 5 26:15 32
7 Kvik Halden 19 9 4 6 28:22 31
8 Traeff 19 8 6 5 35:30 30
9 Arendal 19 7 5 7 27:30 26
10 Pors 19 5 5 9 20:27 20
11 Sandviken 19 5 4 10 29:42 19
12 Lysekloster 19 3 5 11 21:40 14
13 Eik-Tonsberg 19 2 1 16 20:44 7
14 Vidar 19 1 4 14 17:53 7
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)