Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MKS Mlawa vs Bron Radom

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Stryjewski Ma.
28' Event
Rojkowski T.
38' Event
Dziubinski A.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between MKS Mlawa and Bron Radom finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MKS Mlawa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
MKS Mlawa
15%
Draws
59%
Bron Radom
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bron Radom

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Bron Radom haven't matched MKS Mlawa's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bron Radom's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
MKS Mlawa Clean Sheet 10%
Bron Radom Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MKS Mlawa Bron Radom
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 16 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.94 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs Bron Radom
3:2
Oct 10, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Bron Radom vs MKS Mlawa
1:1
May 31, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Bron Radom vs MKS Mlawa
0:3
Nov 9, 2024 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs Bron Radom
2:1
Apr 12, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Bron Radom vs MKS Mlawa
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MKS Mlawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Stryjewski Ma.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rojkowski T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Bron Radom Compare

Top Goalscorer Dziubinski A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MKS Mlawa 10 / 100
Bron Radom 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MKS Mlawa Bron Radom

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bron Radom Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bron Radom has conceded goals in 82% of their last 33 outings.

MKS Mlawa found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

MKS Mlawa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

MKS Mlawa VS Bron Radom
2.63 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

MKS Mlawa

(Home)
19 Sept
MKS Mlawa
4 : 1
Troszyn
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4
MKS Mlawa
06 Sept
MKS Mlawa
0 : 2
LKS Lodz II
29 Aug
Plock II
5 : 3
MKS Mlawa
22 Aug
LKS Lomza
0 : 0
MKS Mlawa
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Bron Radom

(Away)
18 Jul
Bron Radom
5 : 0
Arka Pawlow
15 Jul
Bron Radom
2 : 3
Ceramika Opoczno
11 Jul
Bron Radom
4 : 0
Pilica Bialobrzegi
30 May
Bron Radom
0 : 1
Warta Sieradz
23 May
Wasilkow
1 : 4
Bron Radom
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Legia II 34 27 3 4 82:29 84
2 LKS Lomza 34 22 5 7 77:31 71
3 Warta Sieradz 34 21 8 5 64:34 71
4 Suwalki 34 20 5 9 64:43 65
5 Troszyn 34 17 6 11 75:47 57
6 Plock II 34 16 8 10 56:51 56
7 Widzew Lodz II 34 17 3 14 70:64 54
8 Jagiellonia II 34 14 7 13 46:45 49
9 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 34 13 8 13 64:55 47
10 Zabkovia Zabki 34 13 5 16 72:64 44
11 Swit Mazowiecki 34 12 5 17 51:66 41
12 MKS Mlawa 34 11 7 16 55:59 40
13 Olimpia Elblag 34 10 8 16 45:61 38
14 GKS Wikielec 34 10 7 17 40:54 37
15 Bron Radom 34 9 9 16 40:57 36
16 GKS Belchatow 34 9 7 18 50:76 34
17 Wasilkow 34 7 4 23 40:79 25
18 Znicz Biala Piska 34 4 3 27 27:103 15
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)