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MKS Mlawa vs LKS Lodz II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Olejniczak F.
50' Event
Czerwinski W.
69'
Kirejczyk G.

AI Match Summary

LKS Lodz II in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored LKS Lodz II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
MKS Mlawa
20%
Draws
52%
LKS Lodz II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: LKS Lodz II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • MKS Mlawa have won more games recently than LKS Lodz II.
  • LKS Lodz II are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and LKS Lodz II have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
MKS Mlawa Clean Sheet 10%
LKS Lodz II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MKS Mlawa LKS Lodz II
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 15 7
Draws 2 4
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 2.17 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs LKS Lodz II
0:2
May 24, 2023 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs LKS Lodz II
4:6
Oct 22, 2022 III Liga - Group I
LKS Lodz II vs MKS Mlawa
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MKS Mlawa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

LKS Lodz II Compare

Top Goalscorer Olejniczak F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Czerwinski W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MKS Mlawa 22 / 100
LKS Lodz II 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MKS Mlawa LKS Lodz II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LKS Lodz II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MKS Mlawa found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: LKS Lodz II conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.67 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: MKS Mlawa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

MKS Mlawa VS LKS Lodz II
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
3.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

MKS Mlawa

(Home)
03 Oct
MKS Mlawa
2 : 4
Swit Mazowiecki
25 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
3 : 4
MKS Mlawa
19 Sept
MKS Mlawa
4 : 1
Troszyn
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4
MKS Mlawa
06 Sept
MKS Mlawa
0 : 2
LKS Lodz II
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LKS Lodz II

(Away)
26 Sept
Troszyn
1 : 1
LKS Lodz II
19 Sept
Jagiellonia II
2 : 3
LKS Lodz II
12 Sept
Plock II
2 : 2
LKS Lodz II
06 Sept
MKS Mlawa
0 : 2
LKS Lodz II
30 Aug
LKS Lodz II
4 : 3
LKS Lomza
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 11 8 2 1 24:10 26
2 Suwalki 11 6 4 1 19:10 22
3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 11 6 3 2 27:18 21
4 Pelikan 11 6 2 3 17:13 20
5 Swit Mazowiecki 11 6 2 3 20:12 20
6 Plock II 11 5 3 3 22:18 18
7 Zabkovia Zabki 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Jagiellonia II 10 4 3 3 22:20 15
9 Warta Sieradz 10 4 3 3 18:16 15
10 Widzew Lodz II 10 4 2 4 21:18 14
11 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
12 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
13 Olimpia Elblag 11 4 1 6 16:20 13
14 LKS Lodz II 10 3 2 5 16:19 11
15 MKS Mlawa 11 3 1 7 22:32 10
16 Lidzbark Warmimski 11 2 3 6 16:22 9
17 Troszyn 10 1 4 5 12:24 7
18 LKS Lomza 11 0 3 8 10:25 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)