Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MKS Mlawa vs Pelikan

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Fri, Aug 7, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

MKS Mlawa host Pelikan in the III Liga - Group I. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: MKS Mlawa at 2 goals for, 1.5 against; Pelikan at 1.38 for, 1.5 against. Head-to-head, MKS Mlawa have won 2 to Pelikan's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2025, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.44) point toward MKS Mlawa. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
MKS Mlawa
6%
Draws
4%
Pelikan
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: MKS Mlawa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to MKS Mlawa lately — more wins on the board than Pelikan.
  • MKS Mlawa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
MKS Mlawa Clean Sheet 16%
Pelikan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MKS Mlawa Pelikan
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 18 7
Draws 3 8
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 2 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs Pelikan
3:0
Sep 8, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Pelikan vs MKS Mlawa
5:2
Apr 6, 2024 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs Pelikan
0:0
Sep 10, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Pelikan vs MKS Mlawa
6:0
Mar 5, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Pelikan vs MKS Mlawa
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MKS Mlawa 84 / 100
Pelikan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MKS Mlawa Pelikan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MKS Mlawa's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Pelikan let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Solid form: MKS Mlawa remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

MKS Mlawa VS Pelikan
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

MKS Mlawa

(Home)
01 Aug
Warta Sieradz
1 : 2
MKS Mlawa
25 Jul
MKS Mlawa
4 : 2
Hutnik Warszawa
25 Jul
MKS Mlawa
2 : 0
Wisla Dobrzyn
18 Jul
MKS Mlawa
3 : 2
DKS Dobre Miasto
18 Jul
MKS Mlawa
4 : 0
Sokol Ostroda
Page 1 of 7

Pelikan

(Away)
01 Aug
Pelikan
3 : 2
LKS Lomza
25 Jul
Pelikan
1 : 3
Kutno
25 Jul
Pelikan
1 : 0
Mszczonowianka Mszczonow
22 Jul
Plock II
3 : 2
Pelikan
18 Jul
Pelikan
2 : 2
MKS Piaseczno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Zambrow 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Widzew Lodz II 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
3 Suwalki 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
4 Pelikan 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
5 Jagiellonia II 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
6 Swit Mazowiecki 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 MKS Mlawa 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
8 Plock II 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
9 KTS Weszlo 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
10 LKS Lomza 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
11 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
12 Olimpia Elblag 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
14 Warta Sieradz 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
15 Lidzbark Warmimski 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
16 LKS Lodz II 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
17 Troszyn 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
18 Zabkovia Zabki 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)