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MKS Mlawa vs Pelikan Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Czeczko M.
75' Event
Majewski R.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Pelikan in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pelikan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
MKS Mlawa
15%
Draws
51%
Pelikan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pelikan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to MKS Mlawa lately — more wins on the board than Pelikan.
  • Pelikan are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
MKS Mlawa Clean Sheet 10%
Pelikan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MKS Mlawa Pelikan
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 18 15
Draws 3 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 2.18 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs Pelikan
0:1
Apr 5, 2025 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs Pelikan
3:0
Sep 8, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Pelikan vs MKS Mlawa
5:2
Apr 6, 2024 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs Pelikan
0:0
Sep 10, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Pelikan vs MKS Mlawa
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MKS Mlawa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Pelikan Compare

Top Goalscorer Czeczko M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MKS Mlawa 18 / 100
Pelikan 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MKS Mlawa Pelikan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pelikan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MKS Mlawa's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Pelikan let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Solid form: MKS Mlawa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

MKS Mlawa VS Pelikan
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

MKS Mlawa

(Home)
25 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
3 : 4
MKS Mlawa
19 Sept
MKS Mlawa
4 : 1
Troszyn
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4
MKS Mlawa
06 Sept
MKS Mlawa
0 : 2
LKS Lodz II
29 Aug
Plock II
5 : 3
MKS Mlawa
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Pelikan

(Away)
26 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 3
Pelikan
19 Sept
Pelikan
1 : 0
Lidzbark Warmimski
12 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 0
Pelikan
04 Sept
Pelikan
4 : 1
Swit Mazowiecki
29 Aug
Zabkovia Zabki
2 : 1
Pelikan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 10 8 2 0 23:7 26
2 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 10 6 2 2 26:17 20
3 Suwalki 10 5 4 1 18:10 19
4 Pelikan 10 6 1 3 16:12 19
5 Plock II 10 5 3 2 22:17 18
6 Swit Mazowiecki 10 5 2 3 16:10 17
7 Zabkovia Zabki 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Jagiellonia II 10 4 3 3 22:20 15
9 Warta Sieradz 9 4 2 3 17:15 14
10 Widzew Lodz II 9 4 1 4 20:17 13
11 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 10 4 1 5 20:21 13
12 LKS Lodz II 10 3 2 5 16:19 11
13 Olimpia Zambrow 10 3 2 5 20:26 11
14 Olimpia Elblag 10 3 1 6 14:20 10
15 MKS Mlawa 10 3 1 6 20:28 10
16 Troszyn 10 1 4 5 12:24 7
17 Lidzbark Warmimski 10 1 3 6 14:21 6
18 LKS Lomza 10 0 3 7 10:23 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)