Sport Picks
MKS Mlawa vs Swit Mazowiecki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group I 
Match Events
31'
31'
Manikowski M.
(Penalty)
45'
45'
Rojkowski T.
49'
49'
Tyska J.
AI Match Summary
Swit Mazowiecki in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Swit Mazowiecki.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Swit Mazowiecki
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- MKS Mlawa have won more games recently than Swit Mazowiecki.
- Swit Mazowiecki are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
MKS Mlawa Clean Sheet 10%
Swit Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | MKS Mlawa | Swit Mazowiecki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 32 |
| Wins | 17 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.19 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs Swit Mazowiecki
2:4
Mar 21, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs MKS Mlawa
1:1
Aug 30, 2025 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs Swit Mazowiecki
3:4
Apr 12, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs MKS Mlawa
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs Swit Mazowiecki
6:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
MKS Mlawa Compare
Top Goalscorer Rojkowski T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bykowski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Swit Mazowiecki Compare
Top Goalscorer Tyska J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Manikowski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
MKS Mlawa 22 / 100
Swit Mazowiecki 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
MKS Mlawa Swit Mazowiecki
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Swit Mazowiecki Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
MKS Mlawa found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).
Games between these two average 4.60 goals.
Swit Mazowiecki's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.
Solid form: MKS Mlawa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
MKS Mlawa VS Swit Mazowiecki
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
MKS Mlawa
(Home) 03 Oct
MKS Mlawa
2 : 4 Swit Mazowiecki
25 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
3 : 4 MKS Mlawa
19 Sept
MKS Mlawa
4 : 1 Troszyn
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4 MKS Mlawa
06 Sept
MKS Mlawa
0 : 2 LKS Lodz II
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
MKS Mlawa
2 : 4 Swit Mazowiecki
19 Sept
MKS Mlawa
4 : 1 Troszyn
06 Sept
MKS Mlawa
0 : 2 LKS Lodz II
19 Aug
MKS Mlawa
2 : 3 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
07 Aug
MKS Mlawa
0 : 1 Pelikan
Page 1 of 4
Swit Mazowiecki
(Away) 03 Oct
MKS Mlawa
2 : 4 Swit Mazowiecki
25 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
4 : 0 LKS Lomza
18 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Swit Mazowiecki
12 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
0 : 1 KTS Weszlo
04 Sept
Pelikan
4 : 1 Swit Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
MKS Mlawa
2 : 4 Swit Mazowiecki
18 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Swit Mazowiecki
04 Sept
Pelikan
4 : 1 Swit Mazowiecki
23 Aug
Suwalki
0 : 0 Swit Mazowiecki
15 Aug
Widzew Lodz II
0 : 0 Swit Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KTS Weszlo | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Suwalki | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 27:18 | 21 |
| 4 | Pelikan | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 17:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Swit Mazowiecki | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 6 | Plock II | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 22:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Zabkovia Zabki | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 16 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22:20 | 15 |
| 9 | Warta Sieradz | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18:16 | 15 |
| 10 | Widzew Lodz II | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 21:18 | 14 |
| 11 | Olimpia Zambrow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 12 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 21:23 | 13 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elblag | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:20 | 13 |
| 14 | LKS Lodz II | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | 11 |
| 15 | MKS Mlawa | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 22:32 | 10 |
| 16 | Lidzbark Warmimski | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:22 | 9 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12:24 | 7 |
| 18 | LKS Lomza | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10:25 | 3 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
