Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MKS Mlawa vs Wasilkow

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Mazurek A.
31' Event
Stryjewski Ma.
64' Event
Rojkowski T.

AI Match Summary

MKS Mlawa in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored MKS Mlawa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
MKS Mlawa
20%
Draws
20%
Wasilkow
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: MKS Mlawa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to MKS Mlawa lately — more wins on the board than Wasilkow.
  • MKS Mlawa are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
MKS Mlawa Clean Sheet 18%
Wasilkow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MKS Mlawa Wasilkow
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 2.06 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs Wasilkow
4:2
Sep 6, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Wasilkow vs MKS Mlawa
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MKS Mlawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Stryjewski Ma.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rojkowski T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Wasilkow Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazurek A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vatkevich A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MKS Mlawa 49 / 100
Wasilkow 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MKS Mlawa Wasilkow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MKS Mlawa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: MKS Mlawa scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Wasilkow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Wasilkow lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MKS Mlawa VS Wasilkow
2.88 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

MKS Mlawa

(Home)
25 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
3 : 4
MKS Mlawa
19 Sept
MKS Mlawa
4 : 1
Troszyn
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4
MKS Mlawa
06 Sept
MKS Mlawa
0 : 2
LKS Lodz II
29 Aug
Plock II
5 : 3
MKS Mlawa
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Wasilkow

(Away)
30 May
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1
Wasilkow
23 May
Wasilkow
1 : 4
Bron Radom
16 May
Wasilkow
0 : 3
Suwalki
13 May
Wasilkow
3 : 3
Znicz Biala Piska
09 May
Wasilkow
0 : 3
Warta Sieradz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Legia II 34 27 3 4 82:29 84
2 LKS Lomza 34 22 5 7 77:31 71
3 Warta Sieradz 34 21 8 5 64:34 71
4 Suwalki 34 20 5 9 64:43 65
5 Troszyn 34 17 6 11 75:47 57
6 Plock II 34 16 8 10 56:51 56
7 Widzew Lodz II 34 17 3 14 70:64 54
8 Jagiellonia II 34 14 7 13 46:45 49
9 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 34 13 8 13 64:55 47
10 Zabkovia Zabki 34 13 5 16 72:64 44
11 Swit Mazowiecki 34 12 5 17 51:66 41
12 MKS Mlawa 34 11 7 16 55:59 40
13 Olimpia Elblag 34 10 8 16 45:61 38
14 GKS Wikielec 34 10 7 17 40:54 37
15 Bron Radom 34 9 9 16 40:57 36
16 GKS Belchatow 34 9 7 18 50:76 34
17 Wasilkow 34 7 4 23 40:79 25
18 Znicz Biala Piska 34 4 3 27 27:103 15
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)