Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026

MKS Mlawa

4 - 2

Wasilkow

Our Tip

Match Events

Mazurek A.

31'

Stryjewski Ma.

64'

Rojkowski T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

MKS Mlawa in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored MKS Mlawa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

MKS Mlawa

Draws

Wasilkow

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: MKS Mlawa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to MKS Mlawa lately — more wins on the board than Wasilkow.
MKS Mlawa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%

MKS Mlawa Clean Sheet 20%

Wasilkow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	MKS Mlawa	Wasilkow
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	11	6
Draws	5	4
Losses	12	20
Goals Scored	1.88	1.38
Goals Conceded	1	2.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 III Liga - Group I

MKS Mlawa vs Wasilkow

Possession: 48% - 56% Cards: 3 - 0

4:2

Sep 6, 2025 III Liga - Group I

Wasilkow vs MKS Mlawa

Possession: 53% - 50% Cards: 0 - 3

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MKS Mlawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Stryjewski Ma.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Rojkowski T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Wasilkow Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazurek A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Vatkevich A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MKS Mlawa 85 / 100

Wasilkow 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

MKS Mlawa Wasilkow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MLA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: MKS Mlawa scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Wasilkow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

MKS Mlawa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MKS Mlawa VS Wasilkow

1.88 Goals Scored 1.38

1 Goals Conceded 2.38

88% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 88%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Legia II	34	27	3	4	82:29	84
2	LKS Lomza	34	22	5	7	77:31	71
3	Warta Sieradz	34	21	8	5	64:34	71
4	Suwalki	34	20	5	9	64:43	65
5	Troszyn	34	17	6	11	75:47	57
6	Plock II	34	16	8	10	56:51	56
7	Widzew Lodz II	34	17	3	14	70:64	54
8	Jagiellonia II	34	14	7	13	46:45	49
9	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	13	8	13	64:55	47
10	Zabkovia Zabki	34	13	5	16	72:64	44
11	Swit Mazowiecki	34	12	5	17	51:66	41
12	MKS Mlawa	34	11	7	16	55:59	40
13	Olimpia Elblag	34	10	8	16	45:61	38
14	GKS Wikielec	34	10	7	17	40:54	37
15	Bron Radom	34	9	9	16	40:57	36
16	GKS Belchatow	34	9	7	18	50:76	34
17	Wasilkow	34	7	4	23	40:79	25
18	Znicz Biala Piska	34	4	3	27	27:103	15