Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026

MKS Mlawa

4 - 0

Znicz Biala Piska

Our Tip

Match Events

50'

Stryjewski Mi.

62'

Stryjewski Ma.

74'

Brysiak H.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

MKS Mlawa in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored MKS Mlawa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

MKS Mlawa

Draws

Znicz Biala Piska

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: MKS Mlawa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to MKS Mlawa lately — more wins on the board than Znicz Biala Piska.
Model gives MKS Mlawa a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%

Over 1.5 Goals 87%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

MKS Mlawa Clean Sheet 18%

Znicz Biala Piska Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	MKS Mlawa	Znicz Biala Piska
Matches Played	26	30
Wins	11	4
Draws	3	2
Losses	12	24
Goals Scored	1.5	1.14
Goals Conceded	1.5	2.71
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	2.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 III Liga - Group I

MKS Mlawa vs Znicz Biala Piska

Possession: 60% - 55% Cards: 4 - 3

4:0

Sep 27, 2025 III Liga - Group I

Znicz Biala Piska vs MKS Mlawa

Possession: 60% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MKS Mlawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Stryjewski Mi.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Stryjewski Ma.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Znicz Biala Piska Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MKS Mlawa 85 / 100

Znicz Biala Piska 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

MKS Mlawa Znicz Biala Piska

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MLA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: MKS Mlawa scored in 85% of their last 26 outings.

Znicz Biala Piska's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Solid form: MKS Mlawa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

MKS Mlawa VS Znicz Biala Piska

1.5 Goals Scored 1.14

1.5 Goals Conceded 2.71

88% Over 1.5 86%

50% Over 2.5 57%

38% Over 3.5 43%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Legia II	34	27	3	4	82:29	84
2	LKS Lomza	34	22	5	7	77:31	71
3	Warta Sieradz	34	21	8	5	64:34	71
4	Suwalki	34	20	5	9	64:43	65
5	Troszyn	34	17	6	11	75:47	57
6	Plock II	34	16	8	10	56:51	56
7	Widzew Lodz II	34	17	3	14	70:64	54
8	Jagiellonia II	34	14	7	13	46:45	49
9	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	13	8	13	64:55	47
10	Zabkovia Zabki	34	13	5	16	72:64	44
11	Swit Mazowiecki	34	12	5	17	51:66	41
12	MKS Mlawa	34	11	7	16	55:59	40
13	Olimpia Elblag	34	10	8	16	45:61	38
14	GKS Wikielec	34	10	7	17	40:54	37
15	Bron Radom	34	9	9	16	40:57	36
16	GKS Belchatow	34	9	7	18	50:76	34
17	Wasilkow	34	7	4	23	40:79	25
18	Znicz Biala Piska	34	4	3	27	27:103	15