Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MKT Araz Imisli vs Bakili Baku

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

MKT Araz Imisli in this First Division 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored MKT Araz Imisli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
MKT Araz Imisli
6%
Draws
4%
Bakili Baku
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: MKT Araz Imisli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • MKT Araz Imisli have won more games recently than Bakili Baku.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on MKT Araz Imisli taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
MKT Araz Imisli Clean Sheet 20%
Bakili Baku Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MKT Araz Imisli Bakili Baku
Matches Played 36 41
Wins 17 10
Draws 3 3
Losses 16 28
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 4.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2012 I Liqa
MKT Araz Imisli vs Bakili Baku
1:2
Dec 5, 2011 I Liqa
Bakili Baku vs MKT Araz Imisli
4:0
Apr 3, 2011 I Liqa
Bakili Baku vs MKT Araz Imisli
0:2
Oct 30, 2010 I Liqa
MKT Araz Imisli vs Bakili Baku
2:2
May 16, 2010 I Liqa
MKT Araz Imisli vs Bakili Baku
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MKT Araz Imisli 85 / 100
Bakili Baku 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MKT Araz Imisli Bakili Baku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bakili Baku conceded in 88% of 41 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

MKT Araz Imisli found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (36 games).

MKT Araz Imisli went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bakili Baku
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 4.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

MKT Araz Imisli

(Home)
12 May
Shamkir
2 : 3
MKT Araz Imisli
06 May
MKT Araz Imisli
0 : 0
Mingachevir
29 Apr
ANSAD Neftcala
1 : 0
MKT Araz Imisli
25 Apr
Goyazan Qazax
0 : 2
MKT Araz Imisli
21 Apr
MKT Araz Imisli
1 : 2
Bakili Baku
Page 1 of 8

Bakili Baku

(Away)
27 Apr
Bakili Baku
1 : 7
Sabail
21 Apr
Mingachevir
1 : 1
Bakili Baku
14 Apr
Bakili Baku
4 : 0
Goyazan Qazax
09 Apr
Lokbatan
6 : 1
Bakili Baku
30 Mar
Sahdag Qusar
3 : 0
Bakili Baku
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kapaz22145351:1547
2MOIK Baku22152548:2547
3Bakili Baku22141741:1943
4Lokbatan22123738:2639
5MKT Araz Imisli22115641:2938
6Ravan22114732:2837
7ABN Barda22113831:2336
8Sahdag Qusar2288633:2432
9ANSAD Neftcala22521525:6117
10Mingachevir22361324:5115
11Adliyya Baku22351416:4014
12Goyazan Qazax22141716:557
Promotion - Premier League 2010/2011 (Main)