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ML Vitebsk vs Belshina

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Vitebsk CSK
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ML Vitebsk play Belshina in the Vysshaya Liga. ML Vitebsk are favorites here. Recently, ML Vitebsk averaged 2.41 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Belshina averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1.78 conceded. In past meetings, ML Vitebsk won 4, Belshina won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 28, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for ML Vitebsk and 1.25 for Belshina. This points to a ML Vitebsk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
ML Vitebsk
15%
Draws
23%
Belshina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ML Vitebsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • ML Vitebsk picked up more points recently compared to Belshina.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.25 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
ML Vitebsk Clean Sheet 19%
Belshina Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ML Vitebsk Belshina
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 20 8
Draws 5 2
Losses 4 17
Goals Scored 2.41 1.19
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Club Friendly
ML Vitebsk vs Belshina
2:0
Mar 8, 2025 Belarusian Cup
ML Vitebsk vs Belshina
6:0
Mar 2, 2025 Belarusian Cup
Belshina vs ML Vitebsk
1:2
Sep 20, 2024 Pershaya Liga
Belshina vs ML Vitebsk
2:4
May 26, 2024 Pershaya Liga
ML Vitebsk vs Belshina
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ML Vitebsk 60 / 100
Belshina 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ML Vitebsk Belshina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ML Vitebsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick ML Vitebsk & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

ML Vitebsk attacking → ← attacking Belshina

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ML Vitebsk scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Belshina let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

ML Vitebsk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Belshina lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 26
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Din. Minsk14103126:1233
2ML Vitebsk1494130:1331
3FC Gomel1474320:1225
4Isloch Minsk1374222:1025
5Zhodino1365223:1023
6Neman1362515:1320
7FC Minsk1454519:1919
8Dynamo Brest1353516:1218
9Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1346317:1818
10Slavia Mozyr1436513:1815
11Vitebsk1335512:1614
12FK Baranovici1333713:2512
13Dnepr Mogilev1325611:1911
14Belshina1331912:2510
15BATE141679:179
16Naftan131398:276