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ML Vitebsk vs FC Minsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Vitebsk CSK, Vitebsk
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ML Vitebsk host FC Minsk in the Vysshaya Liga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. ML Vitebsk have averaged 2.03 scored and 0.94 conceded recently, against FC Minsk's 1.3 scored and 1.4 conceded. Past meetings favor ML Vitebsk slightly — 2-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 0.81) point toward ML Vitebsk. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
ML Vitebsk
15%
Draws
5%
FC Minsk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ML Vitebsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • ML Vitebsk have won more games recently than FC Minsk.
  • Model gives ML Vitebsk a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and ML Vitebsk have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
ML Vitebsk Clean Sheet 20%
FC Minsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ML Vitebsk FC Minsk
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 12
Draws 9 5
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 2.03 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
FC Minsk vs ML Vitebsk
2:2
Oct 19, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
ML Vitebsk vs FC Minsk
4:1
May 25, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
FC Minsk vs ML Vitebsk
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ML Vitebsk 85 / 100
FC Minsk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ML Vitebsk FC Minsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ML Vitebsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ML Vitebsk scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: ML Vitebsk remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: FC Minsk conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

ML Vitebsk VS FC Minsk
2.13 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ML Vitebsk

(Home)
24 Oct
Vitebsk
0 : 2
ML Vitebsk
18 Oct
ML Vitebsk
1 : 0
Neman
15 Oct
ML Vitebsk
2 : 0
Zhodino
11 Oct
FC Gomel
1 : 5
ML Vitebsk
18 Sept
ML Vitebsk
5 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Page 1 of 7

FC Minsk

(Away)
23 Oct
FC Minsk
1 : 3
FK Baranovici
17 Oct
Isloch Minsk
4 : 2
FC Minsk
10 Oct
FC Minsk
0 : 1
Zhodino
03 Oct
FC Minsk
0 : 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
18 Sept
Belshina
2 : 0
FC Minsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Minsk 25 17 4 4 47:20 55
2 ML Vitebsk 24 15 8 1 50:18 53
3 Isloch Minsk 24 14 7 3 41:20 49
4 Dynamo Brest 25 13 5 7 41:25 44
5 Neman 25 13 4 8 31:21 43
6 Vitebsk 25 11 7 7 29:21 40
7 FC Gomel 26 11 7 8 37:27 40
8 FC Minsk 26 10 4 12 33:36 34
9 Zhodino 25 9 6 10 30:31 33
10 Slavia Mozyr 25 7 7 11 29:33 28
11 FK Baranovici 26 7 7 12 27:43 28
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 25 5 8 12 24:44 23
13 BATE 25 4 9 12 19:32 21
14 Belshina 24 5 6 13 25:44 21
15 Dnepr Mogilev 25 3 10 12 24:40 19
16 Naftan 25 4 5 16 24:56 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)