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ML Vitebsk vs Viktoria Maryina Gorka

Belarus Belarus

Division 2 - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Trachinskiy I.
90' Event
Duboenko S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 - Group B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
ML Vitebsk
6%
Draws
4%
Viktoria Maryina Gorka
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: ML Vitebsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • ML Vitebsk have won more games recently than Viktoria Maryina Gorka.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on ML Vitebsk taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
ML Vitebsk Clean Sheet 20%
Viktoria Maryina Gorka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ML Vitebsk Viktoria Maryina Gorka
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 25 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.63 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 0
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
ML Vitebsk vs Viktoria Maryina Gorka
1:1
Apr 18, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
Viktoria Maryina Gorka vs ML Vitebsk
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ML Vitebsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Trachinskiy I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Viktoria Maryina Gorka Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ML Vitebsk 85 / 100
Viktoria Maryina Gorka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ML Vitebsk Viktoria Maryina Gorka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MLV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ML Vitebsk scored in 83% of their last 40 games.

Defensive concern: Viktoria Maryina Gorka conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

ML Vitebsk has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

ML Vitebsk VS Viktoria Maryina Gorka
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ML Vitebsk

(Home)
15 Jul
Univ. Craiova
1 : 0
ML Vitebsk
08 Jul
ML Vitebsk
1 : 4
Univ. Craiova
01 Jul
Slavia Mozyr
2 : 4
ML Vitebsk
27 Jun
ML Vitebsk
2 : 1
Naftan
21 Jun
FC Minsk
2 : 2
ML Vitebsk
Page 1 of 8

Viktoria Maryina Gorka

(Away)
28 May
Viktoria Maryina Gorka
1 : 0
Nadezhda Baranovici
30 May
Viktoria Maryina Gorka
0 : 1
FK Lida
03 Apr
Belshina
4 : 0
Viktoria Maryina Gorka
24 Oct
Ostrovets
5 : 0
Viktoria Maryina Gorka
17 Oct
Viktoria Maryina Gorka
4 : 7
Ostrovets
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dnepr Mogilev201901105:957
2Petrikov20161380:1649
3Osipovichi20121744:3537
4Gorki20105535:2135
5Viktoria Maryina Gorka2094743:3731
6ML Vitebsk2093846:4530
7SMIavtotrans Smolevichi20821045:5326
8BumProm Gomel20731029:5124
9Polotsk20411527:7813
10Energetik-BGATU20231528:599
11Zhlobin20211714:927
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