Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mlada Boleslav B vs Varnsdorf

Czech Republic Czech Republic

3. CFL - Group B Lokotrans Arena, Mlada Boleslav
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
08:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mlada Boleslav B host Varnsdorf in the 3. CFL - Group B. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Mlada Boleslav B have averaged 2 scored and 1.48 conceded recently, against Varnsdorf's 2.16 scored and 1.48 conceded. Past meetings favor Varnsdorf slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 2.00) point toward Varnsdorf. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mlada Boleslav B
20%
Draws
40%
Varnsdorf
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Varnsdorf have won more games recently than Mlada Boleslav B.
  • Model gives Mlada Boleslav B a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Mlada Boleslav B Clean Sheet 10%
Varnsdorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mlada Boleslav B Varnsdorf
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 19
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 2 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 3. CFL - Group B
Varnsdorf vs Mlada Boleslav B
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 3. CFL - Group B
Mlada Boleslav B vs Varnsdorf
1:1
Jan 22, 2025 Tipsport liga
Mlada Boleslav B vs Varnsdorf
0:5
Feb 15, 2023 Club Friendly
Mlada Boleslav B vs Varnsdorf
1:2
Jan 29, 2020 Club Friendly
Mlada Boleslav B vs Varnsdorf
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mlada Boleslav B 65 / 100
Varnsdorf 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mlada Boleslav B Varnsdorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mlada Boleslav B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mlada Boleslav B's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Varnsdorf has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Mlada Boleslav B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mlada Boleslav B VS Varnsdorf
2.88 Goals Scored 2.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mlada Boleslav B

(Home)
20 Sept
Mlada Boleslav B
2 : 1
Liberec B
13 Sept
Jablonec B
2 : 2
Mlada Boleslav B
05 Sept
Mlada Boleslav B
2 : 3
Zapy
29 Aug
Velke Hamry
0 : 3
Mlada Boleslav B
22 Aug
Mlada Boleslav B
1 : 2
Neratovice
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Varnsdorf

(Away)
20 Sept
Varnsdorf
0 : 2
Jablonec B
16 Sept
Varnsdorf
1 : 5
Slavia Prague
12 Sept
Zapy
4 : 4
Varnsdorf
06 Sept
Varnsdorf
3 : 1
Velke Hamry
29 Aug
Neratovice
1 : 2
Varnsdorf
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zapy 7 5 2 0 20:9 17
2 Jablonec B 7 4 3 0 16:4 15
3 Mlada Boleslav B 7 4 1 2 22:9 13
4 Teplice B 7 4 1 2 15:10 13
5 Banik Most-Sous 6 4 0 2 14:3 12
6 Pardubice B 7 3 2 2 15:8 11
7 Benatky n. Jiz. 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
8 Varnsdorf 6 3 1 2 11:11 10
9 Hradec Kralove B 7 1 4 2 4:5 7
10 Brozany 7 1 4 2 8:10 7
11 Chrudim 7 1 3 3 9:16 6
12 Horni Redice 6 2 0 4 4:13 6
13 Neratovice 7 1 3 3 6:16 6
14 Caslav 6 1 2 3 4:13 5
15 Liberec B 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
16 Velke Hamry 7 0 1 6 2:19 1
Promotion - 3. CFL - Group A (Play Offs)