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Mlada Boleslav vs Ostrava - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga Lokotrans Arena, Mlada Boleslav
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Subert M.
Assist: John S.
20' Event
Subert M.
23'
Hybs M.

AI Match Summary

Mlada Boleslav in this Chance Liga matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mlada Boleslav.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Mlada Boleslav
30%
Draws
23%
Ostrava
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mlada Boleslav

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mlada Boleslav lately — more wins on the board than Ostrava.
  • Mlada Boleslav are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Chance Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Mlada Boleslav Clean Sheet 20%
Ostrava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mlada Boleslav Ostrava
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.03 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Chance Liga
Mlada Boleslav vs Ostrava
4:0
May 2, 2026 Chance Liga
Ostrava vs Mlada Boleslav
0:0
Feb 22, 2026 Chance Liga
Ostrava vs Mlada Boleslav
0:0
Sep 21, 2025 Chance Liga
Mlada Boleslav vs Ostrava
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 Chance Liga
Ostrava vs Mlada Boleslav
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mlada Boleslav Compare

Top Goalscorer Subert M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader John S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Ostrava Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mlada Boleslav 76 / 100
Ostrava 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mlada Boleslav Ostrava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mlada Boleslav Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mlada Boleslav scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Mlada Boleslav has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ostrava's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mlada Boleslav VS Ostrava
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mlada Boleslav

(Home)
01 Nov
Mlada Boleslav
3 : 1
Hradec Kralove
28 Oct
Mlada Boleslav
3 : 2
Bohemians 1905
24 Oct
Slavia Prague
1 : 1
Mlada Boleslav
17 Oct
Mlada Boleslav
1 : 0
Teplice
14 Oct
Bohemians 1905
1 : 0
Mlada Boleslav
Page 1 of 6

Ostrava

(Away)
01 Nov
Ostrava
0 : 4
Plzen
28 Oct
Sparta Prague
0 : 2
Ostrava
18 Oct
Ostrava
0 : 0
Sparta Prague
10 Oct
Bohemians 1905
1 : 0
Ostrava
03 Oct
GKS Katowice
1 : 1
Ostrava
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slavia Prague 13 9 4 0 32:7 31
2 Mlada Boleslav 13 7 3 3 22:15 24
3 Sigma Olomouc 13 7 3 3 22:15 24
4 Sparta Prague 13 7 2 4 25:13 23
5 Liberec 12 7 2 3 15:8 23
6 Teplice 13 6 3 4 21:18 21
7 Bohemians 1905 13 5 5 3 15:14 20
8 Jablonec 13 6 2 5 16:18 20
9 Brno 13 6 2 5 16:19 20
10 Plzen 13 5 4 4 28:21 19
11 Hradec Kralove 13 4 3 6 12:18 15
12 FK Pardubice 13 4 2 7 15:19 14
13 Ostrava 12 3 2 7 7:22 11
14 Artis Brno 13 2 4 7 14:24 10
15 Slovacko 13 1 4 8 12:26 7
16 Zlin 13 0 3 10 11:26 3
Promotion - Chance Liga (Championship Group)
Promotion - Chance Liga (7th-10th places)
Relegation - Chance Liga (Relegation Group)