Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mladi Radnik vs Macva Bogatic

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - West 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Srpska Liga - West 2022/2023 game between Mladi Radnik and Macva Bogatic finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mladi Radnik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Mladi Radnik
20%
Draws
38%
Macva Bogatic
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mladi Radnik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mladi Radnik come out ahead of Macva Bogatic on wins alone.
  • Macva Bogatic are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Mladi Radnik Clean Sheet 20%
Macva Bogatic Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mladi Radnik Macva Bogatic
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.27 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2023 Srpska Liga - West
Macva Bogatic vs Mladi Radnik
3:0
Nov 19, 2022 Srpska Liga - West
Mladi Radnik vs Macva Bogatic
2:0
Apr 30, 2022 Srpska Liga - West
Macva Bogatic vs Mladi Radnik
1:1
Oct 16, 2021 Srpska Liga - West
Mladi Radnik vs Macva Bogatic
0:1
Apr 14, 2021 Srpska Liga - West
Macva Bogatic vs Mladi Radnik
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mladi Radnik 20 / 100
Macva Bogatic 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mladi Radnik Macva Bogatic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Macva Bogatic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mladi Radnik found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (40 games).

Macva Bogatic let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Mladi Radnik remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mladi Radnik VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mladi Radnik

(Home)
08 Jun
Mladi Radnik
2 : 1
Omladinac Zablace
01 Jun
Sloga Pozega
0 : 1
Mladi Radnik
24 May
Mladi Radnik
3 : 2
Lipolist
17 May
Sloga Kraljevo
2 : 5
Mladi Radnik
10 May
Mladi Radnik
0 : 1
OFK Napredak
Page 1 of 8

Macva Bogatic

(Away)
10 Jun
Macva Bogatic
3 : 0
Mladi Radnik
03 Jun
Buducnost Arilje
2 : 7
Macva Bogatic
27 May
Macva Bogatic
1 : 1
Radevac
21 May
OFK Mihajlovac
0 : 2
Macva Bogatic
13 May
Macva Bogatic
1 : 1
Takovo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Smederevo 30 24 5 1 62:17 77
2 Borac 1926 30 24 4 2 74:24 76
3 FAP 30 16 9 5 46:26 57
4 Sloga Pozega 30 13 9 8 36:24 48
5 Polet Ljubic 30 13 6 11 47:50 45
6 Tutin 30 12 5 13 29:37 41
7 Takovo 30 9 10 11 37:39 37
8 Buducnost Krusik 30 9 10 11 27:39 37
9 OFK Mihajlovac 30 8 10 12 26:39 34
10 Mladi Radnik 30 9 6 15 39:52 33
11 Real Podunavci 30 9 6 15 29:41 33
12 Macva Bogatic 30 8 8 14 39:45 32
13 Sloga Kraljevo 30 7 10 13 29:41 31
14 Sloga 1940 30 9 4 17 39:41 31
15 Radevac 30 7 9 14 28:39 30
16 Buducnost Arilje 30 5 5 20 24:57 20
Promotion - Prva Liga 2023/2024 (Main)