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Mladost Backi Jarak vs Jedinstvo Stara Pazova

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - Vojvodina
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mladost Backi Jarak play Jedinstvo Stara Pazova in the Srpska Liga - Vojvodina. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mladost Backi Jarak averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. Jedinstvo Stara Pazova averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, Mladost Backi Jarak won 1, Jedinstvo Stara Pazova won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 29, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Mladost Backi Jarak and 1.56 for Jedinstvo Stara Pazova. This points to a Jedinstvo Stara Pazova double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Mladost Backi Jarak
31%
Draws
37%
Jedinstvo Stara Pazova
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Jedinstvo Stara Pazova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Mladost Backi Jarak picked up more points recently compared to Jedinstvo Stara Pazova.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Mladost Backi Jarak Clean Sheet 15%
Jedinstvo Stara Pazova Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mladost Backi Jarak Jedinstvo Stara Pazova
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.67 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Srpska Liga - Vojvodina
Mladost Backi Jarak vs Jedinstvo Stara Pazova
0:1
Sep 6, 2025 Srpska Liga - Vojvodina
Jedinstvo Stara Pazova vs Mladost Backi Jarak
3:3
Apr 21, 2013 Srpska Liga - Vojvodina
Jedinstvo Stara Pazova vs Mladost Backi Jarak
0:0
Sep 30, 2012 Srpska Liga - Vojvodina
Mladost Backi Jarak vs Jedinstvo Stara Pazova
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mladost Backi Jarak 32 / 100
Jedinstvo Stara Pazova 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mladost Backi Jarak Jedinstvo Stara Pazova

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jedinstvo Stara Pazova or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mladost Backi Jarak attacking → ← attacking Jedinstvo Stara Pazova

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mladost Backi Jarak scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Jedinstvo Stara Pazova let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Mladost Backi Jarak went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Jedinstvo Stara Pazova lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 52
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Naftagas30223556:2069
2Zeleznicar Indjija30186660:3160
3Jedinstvo Stara Pazova30157843:3952
4Hajduk Divos301461048:3348
5Sloven Ruma30139845:3348
6Sloboda DT301110942:3343
7Mladost Backi Jarak301271150:4143
8Dinamo Pancevo301271137:4543
9OFK Vrbas301271142:4443
10Backa301012837:3442
11Veternik301261237:3742
12Sloga Conoplja30981339:5035
13Omladinac NB30771633:4928
14Mladost Omoljica30751828:4726
15Indjija304101626:4422
16Kikinda30462026:6918