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Mladost Backi Jarak vs Sloboda DT

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - Vojvodina
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mladost Backi Jarak play Sloboda DT in the Srpska Liga - Vojvodina. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mladost Backi Jarak averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. Sloboda DT averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Mladost Backi Jarak won 0, Sloboda DT won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Mladost Backi Jarak and 1.63 for Sloboda DT. This points to a Sloboda DT double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Mladost Backi Jarak
28%
Draws
37%
Sloboda DT
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sloboda DT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Mladost Backi Jarak picked up more points recently compared to Sloboda DT.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Mladost Backi Jarak Clean Sheet 14%
Sloboda DT Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mladost Backi Jarak Sloboda DT
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.67 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Srpska Liga - Vojvodina
Mladost Backi Jarak vs Sloboda DT
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Srpska Liga - Vojvodina
Sloboda DT vs Mladost Backi Jarak
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mladost Backi Jarak 34 / 100
Sloboda DT 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mladost Backi Jarak Sloboda DT

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sloboda DT or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mladost Backi Jarak attacking → ← attacking Sloboda DT

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mladost Backi Jarak scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Sloboda DT let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Mladost Backi Jarak went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sloboda DT lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 43
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Naftagas30223556:2069
2Zeleznicar Indjija30186660:3160
3Jedinstvo Stara Pazova30157843:3952
4Hajduk Divos301461048:3348
5Sloven Ruma30139845:3348
6Sloboda DT301110942:3343
7Mladost Backi Jarak301271150:4143
8Dinamo Pancevo301271137:4543
9OFK Vrbas301271142:4443
10Backa301012837:3442
11Veternik301261237:3742
12Sloga Conoplja30981339:5035
13Omladinac NB30771633:4928
14Mladost Omoljica30751828:4726
15Indjija304101626:4422
16Kikinda30462026:6918