Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mladost Carev Dvor vs Vellazerimi

North Macedonia North Macedonia

Macedonian Cup 2015/2016
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Kalaba L.
34' Event
Zekjiri V.
54' Event
Simjanovski M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Macedonian Cup 2015/2016 tie, finishing 3-3. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mladost Carev Dvor
15%
Draws
85%
Vellazerimi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vellazerimi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Vellazerimi have won more games recently than Mladost Carev Dvor.
  • Win probability leans Mladost Carev Dvor's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Vellazerimi arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mladost Carev Dvor, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Mladost Carev Dvor Clean Sheet 20%
Vellazerimi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mladost Carev Dvor Vellazerimi
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 2 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 25 16
Goals Scored 0.53 1.21
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2015 Macedonian Cup
Mladost Carev Dvor vs Vellazerimi
3:3
Sep 30, 2015 Macedonian Cup
Vellazerimi vs Mladost Carev Dvor
2:4
May 16, 2015 2. MFL
Mladost Carev Dvor vs Vellazerimi
1:1
Mar 2, 2015 2. MFL
Mladost Carev Dvor vs Vellazerimi
2:0
Sep 20, 2014 2. MFL
Vellazerimi vs Mladost Carev Dvor
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mladost Carev Dvor Compare

Top Goalscorer Simjanovski M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kalanoski A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Vellazerimi Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalaba L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zekjiri V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mladost Carev Dvor 85 / 100
Vellazerimi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mladost Carev Dvor Vellazerimi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mladost Carev Dvor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Vellazerimi has conceded goals in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Vellazerimi lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Mladost Carev Dvor scored in 39% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vellazerimi
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mladost Carev Dvor

(Home)
12 Oct
Mladost Carev Dvor
:
Met. Skopje
21 Sept
Met. Skopje
:
Mladost Carev Dvor
15 May
Mladost Carev Dvor
0 : 4
Renova
08 May
Met. Skopje
4 : 0
Mladost Carev Dvor
04 May
Mladost Carev Dvor
0 : 2
Turnovo
Page 1 of 6

Vellazerimi

(Away)
02 Sept
Vellazerimi
0 : 14
Makedonija GP
23 Feb
Golemo Konjari
0 : 3
Vellazerimi
15 Feb
Vellazerimi
2 : 1
Shkendija Haracine
20 Sept
Vellazerimi
0 : 4
Pelister
08 Sept
Besa 1976
4 : 0
Vellazerimi
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Bregalnica Stip 2
Plackovica 0
Ljuboten Tetovo 1
Shkupi 5
Vellazerimi 3
Drita 0
Pobeda 1
Mladost Carev Dvor 2
Sileks 4
Prevalec 0
Gorno Lisice 1
Renova 2
KF Gostivar 1
Poeshevo 0
Fortuna Skopje 0
Rabotnicki 11
Turnovo 11
KF Liria Zagracani 0
Belasica Strumica 0
FK Skopje 2
Ljubanci 2
Teteks 1
Vulkan Kosel 0
Makedonija GP 3
Vardar 1
Miravci 0
Oktomvri 0
Pelister 8
Met. Skopje 9
Males 1
Zajazi 0
Shkendija Tetovo 4
1/8-finals
Bregalnica Stip 2
Shkupi 1
Vellazerimi 5
Mladost Carev Dvor 7
Sileks 5
Renova 2
KF Gostivar 0
Rabotnicki 8
Turnovo 5
FK Skopje 3
Ljubanci 2
Makedonija GP 3
Vardar 6
Pelister 1
Met. Skopje 0
Shkendija Tetovo 7
Quarter-finals
Bregalnica Stip 5
Mladost Carev Dvor 2
Sileks 1
Rabotnicki 5
Turnovo 4
Makedonija GP 3
Vardar 1
Shkendija Tetovo 5
Semi-finals
Bregalnica Stip 1
Rabotnicki 4
Turnovo 1
Shkendija Tetovo 4
Final
Rabotnicki 0
Shkendija Tetovo 2