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Mladost Lucani vs Macva Sabac

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

Mladost Lucani play Macva Sabac in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mladost Lucani averaged 1 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. Macva Sabac averaged 1.27 goals scored and 0.69 conceded. In past meetings, Mladost Lucani won 4, Macva Sabac won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 6, 2021 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Mladost Lucani and 0.88 for Macva Sabac. This points to a Macva Sabac double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Mladost Lucani
30%
Draws
36%
Macva Sabac
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Macva Sabac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Mladost Lucani picked up more points recently compared to Macva Sabac.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Mladost Lucani Clean Sheet 25%
Macva Sabac Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mladost Lucani Macva Sabac
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 10 14
Draws 12 7
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2021 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Macva Sabac vs Mladost Lucani
0:2
Oct 17, 2020 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Mladost Lucani vs Macva Sabac
2:1
Jun 7, 2020 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Mladost Lucani vs Macva Sabac
2:1
Oct 26, 2019 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Macva Sabac vs Mladost Lucani
0:1
Jul 10, 2019 Club Friendly
Macva Sabac vs Mladost Lucani
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mladost Lucani 36 / 100
Macva Sabac 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mladost Lucani Macva Sabac

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Macva Sabac or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mladost Lucani attacking → ← attacking Macva Sabac

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mladost Lucani scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Macva Sabac let in goals in 54% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Mladost Lucani went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Macva Sabac lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 49
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75