Sport Picks

Croatia

Druga NL 2025/2026

Jadran Luka Ploce

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mladost Zdralovi play Jadran Luka Ploce in the Druga NL 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mladost Zdralovi averaged 1.76 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. Jadran Luka Ploce averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, Mladost Zdralovi won 2, Jadran Luka Ploce won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 17, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Mladost Zdralovi and 1.38 for Jadran Luka Ploce. This points to a Mladost Zdralovi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Mladost Zdralovi

26%

Draws

35%

Jadran Luka Ploce

Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Mladost Zdralovi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Mladost Zdralovi picked up more points recently compared to Jadran Luka Ploce.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

Mladost Zdralovi Clean Sheet 17%

Jadran Luka Ploce Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mladost Zdralovi	Jadran Luka Ploce
Matches Played	34	33
Wins	20	20
Draws	9	4
Losses	5	9
Goals Scored	1.76	1.97
Goals Conceded	1.06	1.21
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Druga NL

Mladost Zdralovi vs Jadran Luka Ploce

Possession: 43% - 57% Cards: 1 - 4

0:0

Oct 18, 2025 Druga NL

Jadran Luka Ploce vs Mladost Zdralovi

Possession: 41% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

0:2

May 9, 2025 Druga NL

Mladost Zdralovi vs Jadran Luka Ploce

Possession: 50% - 43% Cards: 0 - 3

2:2

Nov 9, 2024 Druga NL

Jadran Luka Ploce vs Mladost Zdralovi

Possession: 51% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

May 11, 2024 Druga NL

Mladost Zdralovi vs Jadran Luka Ploce

Possession: 42% - 46% Cards: 2 - 4

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mladost Zdralovi 39 / 100

Jadran Luka Ploce 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mladost Zdralovi Jadran Luka Ploce

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mladost Zdralovi or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mladost Zdralovi attacking → ← attacking Jadran Luka Ploce

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mladost Zdralovi scored in 88% of their last 34 games.

Jadran Luka Ploce let in goals in 61% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Mladost Zdralovi went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Jadran Luka Ploce lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

69 Points in last 5 64

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Segesta	30	21	2	7	58:33	65
2	Kustosija	30	17	8	5	55:23	59
3	Jadran Luka Ploce	30	18	5	7	56:29	59
4	Mladost Zdralovi	30	17	8	5	48:32	59
5	Uljanik Pula	30	16	4	10	53:44	52
6	Uskok Klis	30	14	5	11	48:36	47
7	Radnik Krizevci	30	13	8	9	39:28	47
8	Solin	30	12	9	9	46:43	45
9	Trnje	30	8	7	15	37:48	31
10	Grobnican	30	7	10	13	46:60	31
11	Varteks Varazdin (2011)	30	8	7	15	34:48	31
12	Bjelovar	30	7	8	15	32:46	29
13	Lucko	30	8	5	17	32:46	29
14	Dugo Selo	30	7	8	15	22:43	29
15	Dragovoljac	30	6	10	14	28:49	28
16	Croatia Dakovo	30	7	4	19	30:56	25