Sport Picks

Croatia

3. HNL North

Podravina Ludbreg

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mladost Zdralovi play Podravina Ludbreg in the 3. HNL North. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mladost Zdralovi averaged 2.05 goals scored and 1.02 conceded. Podravina Ludbreg averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. In past meetings, Mladost Zdralovi won 3, Podravina Ludbreg won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 21, 2022 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Mladost Zdralovi and 1.00 for Podravina Ludbreg. This points to a Mladost Zdralovi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%

Mladost Zdralovi

22%

Draws

25%

Podravina Ludbreg

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Mladost Zdralovi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Mladost Zdralovi picked up more points recently compared to Podravina Ludbreg.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 69%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Mladost Zdralovi Clean Sheet 23%

Podravina Ludbreg Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mladost Zdralovi	Podravina Ludbreg
Matches Played	43	30
Wins	27	9
Draws	10	7
Losses	6	14
Goals Scored	2.05	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.02	2.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2022 3. HNL North

Podravina Ludbreg vs Mladost Zdralovi

Possession: 46% - 57% Cards: 4 - 1

0:4

Nov 20, 2021 3. HNL North

Mladost Zdralovi vs Podravina Ludbreg

Possession: 59% - 49% Cards: 0 - 1

1:2

Sep 4, 2021 3. HNL North

Podravina Ludbreg vs Mladost Zdralovi

Possession: 55% - 55% Cards: 0 - 2

2:4

Jun 5, 2021 3. HNL North

Mladost Zdralovi vs Podravina Ludbreg

Possession: 48% - 57% Cards: 0 - 1

4:1

Apr 3, 2021 3. HNL North

Podravina Ludbreg vs Mladost Zdralovi

Possession: 60% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mladost Zdralovi 52 / 100

Podravina Ludbreg 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mladost Zdralovi Podravina Ludbreg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mladost Zdralovi Win (1)

Secondary Pick Mladost Zdralovi & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.7%

2.22

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.7%

1.59

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mladost Zdralovi attacking → ← attacking Podravina Ludbreg

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mladost Zdralovi scored in 91% of their last 43 games.

Podravina Ludbreg let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Mladost Zdralovi went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Podravina Ludbreg lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

91 Points in last 5 34

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	NK Polet	22	17	0	5	61:17	51
2	Mladost Zdralovi	22	15	5	2	45:15	50
3	Bjelovar	22	14	3	5	53:26	45
4	Radnik Krizevci	22	14	2	6	57:25	44
5	Medjimurje	22	12	3	7	40:33	39
6	Podravina Ludbreg	22	8	7	7	35:41	31
7	Papuk Orahovica	22	7	4	11	32:43	25
8	Varteks Varazdin (2011)	22	6	4	12	20:39	22
9	NK Koprivnica	22	3	8	11	24:43	17
10	Virovitica	22	5	2	15	25:52	17
11	Podravac Virje	22	4	4	14	23:50	16
12	Rudar Mursko Sredisce	22	4	4	14	25:56	16