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MO Constantine vs Ouargla

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2 2024/2025
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Match Events

2' Event
11' Event
83' Event

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2024/2025 game between MO Constantine and Ouargla finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MO Constantine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
MO Constantine
30%
Draws
12%
Ouargla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: MO Constantine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • MO Constantine carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on MO Constantine taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
MO Constantine Clean Sheet 68%
Ouargla Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MO Constantine Ouargla
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.97 1
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2025 Ligue 2
Ouargla vs MO Constantine
2:2
Dec 20, 2024 Ligue 2
MO Constantine vs Ouargla
2:1
May 18, 2024 Ligue 2
Ouargla vs MO Constantine
1:1
Jan 16, 2024 Ligue 2
MO Constantine vs Ouargla
1:1
Feb 3, 2023 Ligue 2
MO Constantine vs Ouargla
6:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MO Constantine 50 / 100
Ouargla 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MO Constantine Ouargla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MO Constantine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ouargla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

MO Constantine went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Ouargla registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MO Constantine VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

MO Constantine

(Home)
09 May
MO Constantine
3 : 1
Chelghoum
02 May
MSP Batna
5 : 0
MO Constantine
21 Apr
MO Constantine
1 : 3
US Chaouia
17 Apr
Annaba
0 : 0
MO Constantine
10 Apr
MO Constantine
0 : 0
Beni Oulbane
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Ouargla

(Away)
17 May
Annaba
3 : 0
Ouargla
09 May
Ouargla
2 : 2
MO Constantine
26 Apr
Chelghoum
2 : 1
Ouargla
19 Apr
Ouargla
1 : 2
Harrach
10 Apr
US Souf
1 : 0
Ouargla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rouisset 30 22 5 3 45:14 71
2 Harrach 30 21 7 2 52:15 70
3 JS Djijel 30 14 6 10 45:25 48
4 Annaba 30 13 8 9 45:34 47
5 MO Constantine 30 13 4 13 43:39 43
6 IB Khemis El Khechna 30 12 6 12 34:34 42
7 US Chaouia 30 12 6 12 33:35 42
8 CA Batna 30 11 9 10 39:37 41
9 Chelghoum 30 11 8 11 30:31 41
10 Khroub 30 11 7 12 44:38 40
11 Bordj Menail 30 11 7 12 30:32 40
12 MSP Batna 30 10 9 11 30:35 38
13 Telaghema 30 8 14 8 31:32 37
14 Ouargla 30 7 8 15 30:43 27
15 Olympique Magrane 30 5 4 21 28:66 17
16 US Souf 30 3 4 23 29:78 10
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ES Ben Aknoun 30 19 10 1 44:14 67
2 RC Kouba 30 15 10 5 43:22 55
3 JS El Biar 30 16 7 7 37:21 55
4 Hussein Dey 30 11 13 6 35:25 46
5 WA Mostaganem 30 12 7 11 35:32 43
6 CR Temouchent 30 10 10 10 32:25 40
7 ASM Oran 30 10 10 10 21:22 40
8 Kolea 30 10 10 10 28:32 40
9 Saida 30 9 12 9 28:29 39
10 JSM Tiaret 30 9 13 8 32:30 37
11 Arba 30 10 7 13 35:37 37
12 Bechar Djedid 30 10 7 13 40:46 37
13 GC Mascara 30 10 9 11 31:38 37
14 El Khemis 30 8 8 14 31:33 30
15 Oued Sly 30 7 4 19 22:42 22
16 SC Mecheria 30 3 3 24 19:65 10
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Main)