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Moca vs Atletico Pantoja

Dominican Republic Dominican Republic

LDF 2025/2026
Moca Logo

Moca

2 - 2
FT
Atletico Pantoja Logo

Atletico Pantoja

Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Duran O.
32' Event
Sarante C.
60' Event
Francisco Gomez J. Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this LDF 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Moca
35%
Draws
20%
Atletico Pantoja
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Moca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Moca haven't matched Atletico Pantoja's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Moca a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular LDF 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Moca Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico Pantoja Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moca Atletico Pantoja
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 15
Draws 11 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.87 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 LDF
Atletico Pantoja vs Moca
3:0
Feb 28, 2026 LDF
Moca vs Atletico Pantoja
2:2
Jan 24, 2026 LDF
Atletico Pantoja vs Moca
1:1
Dec 13, 2025 LDF
Atletico Pantoja vs Moca
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 LDF
Moca vs Atletico Pantoja
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moca Compare

Top Goalscorer Duran O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Francisco Gomez J. Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Atletico Pantoja Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarante C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moreno F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moca 77 / 100
Atletico Pantoja 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moca Atletico Pantoja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moca has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Moca scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Atletico Pantoja has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Moca VS Atletico Pantoja
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Moca

(Home)
13 Sept
Moca
2 : 1
Cibao
06 Sept
Don Bosco Jarabacoa
0 : 1
Moca
30 Aug
Universidad O&M
0 : 0
Moca
26 Aug
Moca
0 : 0
Salcedo
21 Aug
Moca
0 : 0
Vega Real
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Atletico Pantoja

(Away)
10 May
Cibao
1 : 1
Atletico Pantoja
02 May
Atletico Pantoja
0 : 1
Cibao
25 Apr
Atletico Pantoja
0 : 1
Cibao
18 Apr
Salcedo
2 : 0
Atletico Pantoja
11 Apr
Atletico Pantoja
3 : 0
Moca
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cibao 15 8 6 1 22:11 30
2 Delfines Del Este 15 7 5 3 19:12 26
3 Salcedo 15 6 5 4 20:17 23
4 Atletico Pantoja 15 4 7 4 22:18 19
5 Moca 15 3 5 7 12:19 14
6 Universidad O&M 15 1 4 10 16:34 7
Promotion - LDF 2025/2026 (Play Offs)