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Moca vs Cibao

Dominican Republic Dominican Republic

LDF 2025/2026
Moca Logo

Moca

1 - 0
FT
Cibao Logo

Cibao

Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Canavesio R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Moca in this LDF 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Moca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Moca
35%
Draws
28%
Cibao
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Moca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cibao lately — more wins on the board than Moca.
  • Model gives Moca a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Moca Clean Sheet 20%
Cibao Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moca Cibao
Matches Played 33 38
Wins 10 23
Draws 11 11
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 0.94 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.09 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 LDF
Moca vs Cibao
2:1
Apr 1, 2026 LDF
Moca vs Cibao
2:2
Feb 22, 2026 LDF
Cibao vs Moca
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 LDF
Moca vs Cibao
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 LDF
Moca vs Cibao
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moca Compare

Top Goalscorer Canavesio R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Cibao Compare

Avg xG / game 0.59
Avg xA / game 0.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moca 36 / 100
Cibao 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moca Cibao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Moca stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Moca's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Defensive concern: Cibao conceded in 55% of 38 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Moca VS Cibao
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.17 Goals Conceded 0.63
17% Over 1.5 63%
17% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Moca

(Home)
13 Sept
Moca
2 : 1
Cibao
06 Sept
Don Bosco Jarabacoa
0 : 1
Moca
30 Aug
Universidad O&M
0 : 0
Moca
26 Aug
Moca
0 : 0
Salcedo
21 Aug
Moca
0 : 0
Vega Real
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Cibao

(Away)
13 Sept
Moca
2 : 1
Cibao
10 Sept
Salcedo
1 : 1
Cibao
05 Sept
Cibao
2 : 1
Vega Real
29 Aug
Atlantico FC
1 : 4
Cibao
25 Aug
Cibao
0 : 1
Delfines Del Este
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cibao 15 8 6 1 22:11 30
2 Delfines Del Este 15 7 5 3 19:12 26
3 Salcedo 15 6 5 4 20:17 23
4 Atletico Pantoja 15 4 7 4 22:18 19
5 Moca 15 3 5 7 12:19 14
6 Universidad O&M 15 1 4 10 16:34 7
Promotion - LDF 2025/2026 (Play Offs)