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Stadium Background

Moca vs Don Bosco Jarabacoa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Dominican Republic Dominican Republic

LDF
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Moca host Don Bosco Jarabacoa in the LDF. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Don Bosco Jarabacoa have shipped 1.72 goals a game lately, while Moca have conceded 1.18 and scored 0.88. Past meetings favor Moca slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 6, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.44 - 0.51) back Moca to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Moca
30%
Draws
23%
Don Bosco Jarabacoa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Moca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Moca come out ahead of Don Bosco Jarabacoa on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Moca's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Moca Clean Sheet 20%
Don Bosco Jarabacoa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moca Don Bosco Jarabacoa
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 9 5
Draws 11 7
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 0.88 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 LDF
Don Bosco Jarabacoa vs Moca
0:1
Oct 25, 2025 LDF
Don Bosco Jarabacoa vs Moca
1:1
Aug 12, 2025 LDF
Moca vs Don Bosco Jarabacoa
0:1
Mar 9, 2025 Copa de la LDF
Don Bosco Jarabacoa vs Moca
0:1
Jul 8, 2023 LDF
Don Bosco Jarabacoa vs Moca
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moca 67 / 100
Don Bosco Jarabacoa 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moca Don Bosco Jarabacoa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Don Bosco Jarabacoa has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Moca scored in 62% of their last 34 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Don Bosco Jarabacoa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Moca VS Don Bosco Jarabacoa
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Moca

(Home)
10 Oct
Moca
1 : 2
Universidad O&M
04 Oct
Salcedo
1 : 0
Moca
26 Sept
Vega Real
1 : 0
Moca
23 Sept
Moca
1 : 1
Delfines Del Este
19 Sept
Atlantico FC
2 : 3
Moca
Page 1 of 7

Don Bosco Jarabacoa

(Away)
10 Oct
Don Bosco Jarabacoa
1 : 1
Delfines Del Este
03 Oct
Atlantico FC
2 : 2
Don Bosco Jarabacoa
27 Sept
Cibao
3 : 0
Don Bosco Jarabacoa
23 Sept
Vega Real
3 : 1
Don Bosco Jarabacoa
19 Sept
Don Bosco Jarabacoa
0 : 2
Salcedo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salcedo 9 7 2 0 18:4 23
2 Cibao 9 5 2 2 15:7 17
3 Vega Real 9 5 1 3 14:8 16
4 Delfines Del Este 10 4 3 3 9:7 15
5 Universidad O&M 10 4 2 4 14:11 12
6 Moca 10 3 4 3 8:8 11
7 Don Bosco Jarabacoa 10 1 2 7 6:19 2
8 Atlantico FC 9 0 2 7 8:28 0
Promotion - LDF (Winners stage)