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Modena U19 vs Avellino U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2025/2026
Sat, May 16, 2026
1 - 0
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Spadoni A.
(Penalty)
1' Event
Arnaboldi P.
(Penalty)
2' Event
Volpe U.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Modena U19 in this Primavera 2 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Modena U19
20%
Draws
33%
Avellino U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Modena U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Modena U19 lately — more wins on the board than Avellino U19.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Modena U19 taking it.
  • Modena U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Modena U19, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Modena U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Avellino U19 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Modena U19 Avellino U19
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 13
Draws 5 9
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.9 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Primavera 2
Modena U19 vs Avellino U19
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Modena U19 49 / 100
Avellino U19 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Modena U19 Avellino U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Modena U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Modena U19 scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Avellino U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Modena U19 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Modena U19 VS Avellino U19
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Modena U19

(Home)
05 Sept
Modena U19
4 : 0
Pro Vercelli U19
30 May
Modena U19
2 : 3
AlbinoLeffe U19
23 May
Perugia U19
1 : 2
Modena U19
16 May
Modena U19
1 : 0
Avellino U19
09 May
Modena U19
1 : 1
Cittadella U19
Page 1 of 6

Avellino U19

(Away)
05 Sept
Avellino U19
3 : 1
Napoli U19
16 May
Modena U19
1 : 0
Avellino U19
09 May
Salernitana U19
1 : 0
Avellino U19
02 May
Avellino U19
3 : 1
Palermo U19
25 Apr
Monopoli U19
0 : 0
Avellino U19
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Perugia U19 2
Reggiana U19 0
Modena U19 1
Avellino U19 0
Lecco U19 3
Pisa U19 2
Pescara U19 1
AlbinoLeffe U19 2
Semi-finals
Perugia U19 1
Modena U19 2
Lecco U19 1
AlbinoLeffe U19 5
Final
Modena U19 2
AlbinoLeffe U19 3