Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Modena U19 vs Cittadella U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Fontana B.
90' Event
Genova A.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 2 2025/2026 game between Modena U19 and Cittadella U19 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Modena U19
30%
Draws
12%
Cittadella U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Modena U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Modena U19 come out ahead of Cittadella U19 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Modena U19 a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Modena U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Cittadella U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Modena U19 Cittadella U19
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.97 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Primavera 2
Modena U19 vs Cittadella U19
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 Primavera 2
Cittadella U19 vs Modena U19
0:2
Feb 22, 2025 Primavera 2
Modena U19 vs Cittadella U19
3:4
Nov 2, 2024 Primavera 2
Cittadella U19 vs Modena U19
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Modena U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fontana B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Cittadella U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Genova A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Modena U19 85 / 100
Cittadella U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Modena U19 Cittadella U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Modena U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Modena U19 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Cittadella U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Modena U19 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Modena U19 VS Cittadella U19
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Modena U19

(Home)
05 Sept
Modena U19
4 : 0
Pro Vercelli U19
30 May
Modena U19
2 : 3
AlbinoLeffe U19
23 May
Perugia U19
1 : 2
Modena U19
16 May
Modena U19
1 : 0
Avellino U19
09 May
Modena U19
1 : 1
Cittadella U19
Page 1 of 6

Cittadella U19

(Away)
05 Sept
Venezia U19
5 : 2
Cittadella U19
22 Aug
Cittadella U19
0 : 4
Venezia U19
09 May
Modena U19
1 : 1
Cittadella U19
02 May
Cittadella U19
1 : 2
Entella U19
25 Apr
Venezia U19
0 : 0
Cittadella U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como U19 30 18 7 5 58:31 61
2 Lecco U19 30 18 6 6 65:50 60
3 Modena U19 30 16 7 7 55:38 55
4 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 14 5 11 58:59 47
5 Reggiana U19 30 13 7 10 58:44 46
6 Pro Vercelli U19 30 14 4 12 44:46 46
7 Entella U19 30 10 13 7 47:38 43
8 Sampdoria U19 30 12 5 13 57:48 41
9 Vicenza U19 30 10 8 12 45:53 38
10 Sudtirol U19 30 9 10 11 36:37 37
11 Udinese U19 30 9 9 12 53:50 36
12 Cittadella U19 30 9 9 12 42:49 36
13 Renate U19 30 7 12 11 34:44 33
14 Union Brescia U19 30 9 3 18 31:46 30
15 Venezia U19 30 6 8 16 32:63 26
16 Padova U19 30 6 7 17 34:53 25
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Empoli U19 30 23 5 2 74:19 74
2 Perugia U19 30 16 7 7 47:27 55
3 Pescara U19 30 15 7 8 51:37 52
4 Avellino U19 30 13 12 5 54:36 51
5 Pisa U19 30 13 9 8 54:41 48
6 Spezia U19 30 15 3 12 55:43 48
7 Catanzaro U19 30 14 6 10 42:35 48
8 Benevento U19 30 13 5 12 42:50 44
9 Ternana U19 30 11 9 10 51:54 42
10 Monopoli U19 30 10 7 13 39:50 37
11 Bari U19 30 9 8 13 42:42 35
12 Ascoli U19 30 8 9 13 47:50 33
13 Palermo U19 30 5 12 13 35:43 27
14 Cosenza U19 30 6 9 15 32:62 27
15 Salernitana U19 30 6 6 18 28:62 24
16 Crotone U19 30 1 10 19 20:62 13
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)