Sport Picks

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Modena vs Avellino

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena
Sun, Sep 6, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Modena host Avellino in the Serie B. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Avellino have shipped 1.48 goals a game lately, while Modena have conceded 1 and scored 1.22. Past meetings favor Avellino slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 8, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 2.75) point toward Avellino. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Modena
15%
Draws
26%
Avellino
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Modena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Avellino lately — more wins on the board than Modena.
  • Win probability leans Modena's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Modena Clean Sheet 10%
Avellino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Modena Avellino
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.22 2.14
Goals Conceded 1 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Serie B
Avellino vs Modena
1:0
Aug 31, 2025 Serie B
Modena vs Avellino
1:1
Jan 23, 2016 Serie B
Modena vs Avellino
1:1
Sep 12, 2015 Serie B
Avellino vs Modena
2:0
Apr 2, 2015 Serie B
Avellino vs Modena
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Modena 74 / 100
Avellino 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Modena Avellino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Modena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Modena scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Avellino conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Modena remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Modena VS Avellino
1 Goals Scored 4.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
25% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Modena

(Home)
22 Aug
Benevento
1 : 2
Modena
15 Aug
Venezia
3 : 2
Modena
08 Aug
Modena
0 : 0
Vis Pesaro
01 Aug
Trento
0 : 1
Modena
28 Jul
Cagliari
1 : 0
Modena
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Avellino

(Away)
22 Aug
Avellino
1 : 2
Arezzo
14 Aug
Monza
3 : 0
Avellino
08 Aug
Avellino
1 : 2
Torino
01 Aug
Lazio
6 : 3
Avellino
28 Jul
Avellino
3 : 1
Real Forio 2014
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 Ascoli 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Mantova 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Modena 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Arezzo 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Padova 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Sudtirol 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Palermo 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
9 Empoli 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
10 Cesena 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Sampdoria 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
12 Catanzaro 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
13 Avellino 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
14 Carrarese 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
15 Benevento 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
16 Verona 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
17 Pisa 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Cremonese 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
19 Entella 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
20 Juve Stabia 1 0 0 1 0:1 -2
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)