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Modena vs Castelvetro

World World

Club Friendly 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Scarsella F.
17' Event
Mosti N.
31' Event
Gerli F.

AI Match Summary

Modena in this Club Friendly 2022 matchup, with the score ending 9-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Modena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Modena
15%
Draws
39%
Castelvetro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Modena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Modena have won more games recently than Castelvetro.
  • Modena are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Modena Clean Sheet 19%
Castelvetro Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Modena Castelvetro
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.54 1.19
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2022 Club Friendly
Modena vs Castelvetro
9:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Modena Compare

Top Goalscorer Scarsella F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mosti N.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Castelvetro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Modena 85 / 100
Castelvetro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Modena Castelvetro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Modena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castelvetro has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 9.00 goals per match.

Modena found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Modena remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Modena VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Modena

(Home)
06 Sept
Modena
0 : 1
Avellino
28 Aug
Cremonese
0 : 3
Modena
22 Aug
Benevento
1 : 2
Modena
15 Aug
Venezia
3 : 2
Modena
08 Aug
Modena
0 : 0
Vis Pesaro
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Castelvetro

(Away)
21 Jul
Modena
9 : 0
Castelvetro
20 May
Castelvetro
0 : 2
Mezzolara
06 May
Romagna Centro
2 : 0
Castelvetro
29 Apr
Castelvetro
2 : 0
Sporting Trestina
22 Apr
Mezzolara
1 : 3
Castelvetro
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