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Modena vs Mantova - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena
Modena Logo

Modena

1 - 1
FT
Mantova Logo

Mantova

Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Radaelli N.
34'
Trimboli S.
46'
Sub
Longonda J. In: Kouda R.
Out: Longonda J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Modena and Mantova finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Modena
20%
Draws
33%
Mantova
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Modena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mantova come out ahead of Modena on wins alone.
  • Model gives Modena a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Modena Clean Sheet 68%
Mantova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Modena Mantova
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.45 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 Serie B
Modena vs Mantova
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 Serie B
Modena vs Mantova
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Serie B
Mantova vs Modena
1:3
Feb 1, 2025 Serie B
Modena vs Mantova
3:1
Nov 30, 2024 Serie B
Mantova vs Modena
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Modena Compare

Top Goalscorer Belotti A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Mantova Compare

Top Goalscorer Spinacce M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Modena 77 / 100
Mantova 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Modena Mantova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Modena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 8:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Modena's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Mantova let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Modena stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Modena VS Mantova
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Modena

(Home)
31 Oct
Modena
1 : 1
Mantova
27 Oct
Vicenza
1 : 2
Modena
24 Oct
Modena
3 : 0
Cesena
17 Oct
Carrarese
2 : 1
Modena
11 Oct
Modena
3 : 2
Verona
Page 1 of 6

Mantova

(Away)
31 Oct
Modena
1 : 1
Mantova
27 Oct
Mantova
0 : 2
Cremonese
24 Oct
Entella
0 : 1
Mantova
17 Oct
Mantova
0 : 2
Palermo
11 Oct
Catanzaro
1 : 3
Mantova
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 11 8 3 0 25:13 27
2 Ascoli 11 5 5 1 17:7 20
3 Modena 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
4 Mantova 10 5 3 2 15:11 18
5 Avellino 10 4 3 3 15:10 15
6 Benevento 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
7 Verona 10 4 3 3 19:13 15
8 Pisa 10 4 3 3 18:15 15
9 Padova 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
10 Sudtirol 10 3 5 2 11:10 14
11 Cremonese 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
12 Cesena 10 2 6 2 11:14 12
13 Arezzo 10 3 2 5 9:19 11
14 Entella 10 2 4 4 11:12 10
15 Carrarese 10 3 1 6 9:13 10
16 Juve Stabia 10 3 4 3 11:11 9
17 Vicenza 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
18 Empoli 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
19 Sampdoria 10 2 2 6 10:18 8
20 Catanzaro 10 1 3 6 11:22 6
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)