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Modena vs Reggiana Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Sub
Gerli F. In: Santoro S.
Out: Gerli F.
13' Event
Zampano F.
Assist: Zanimacchia L.
14'
Zampano F.

AI Match Summary

Modena in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Modena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Modena
20%
Draws
33%
Reggiana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Modena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Modena have won more games recently than Reggiana.
  • Win probability leans Modena's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Modena Clean Sheet 20%
Reggiana Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Modena Reggiana
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.37 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Serie B
Modena vs Reggiana
2:1
Oct 28, 2025 Serie B
Reggiana vs Modena
1:0
May 1, 2025 Serie B
Modena vs Reggiana
2:3
Dec 14, 2024 Serie B
Reggiana vs Modena
0:1
May 1, 2024 Serie B
Reggiana vs Modena
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Modena Compare

Top Goalscorer Zampano F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ambrosino G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Reggiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Vicari F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Modena 40 / 100
Reggiana 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Modena Reggiana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Modena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Modena scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Reggiana has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Modena has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Modena VS Reggiana
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Modena

(Home)
20 Sept
Modena
2 : 1
Empoli
12 Sept
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Modena
06 Sept
Modena
0 : 1
Avellino
28 Aug
Cremonese
0 : 3
Modena
22 Aug
Benevento
1 : 2
Modena
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Reggiana

(Away)
04 Oct
Reggiana
0 : 1
Spezia
27 Sept
Perugia
1 : 0
Reggiana
20 Sept
Reggiana
1 : 0
Latina
16 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 4
Reggiana
12 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1
Reggiana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)