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Modena vs San Marino

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Modena and San Marino finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Modena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Modena
20%
Draws
7%
San Marino
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Modena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Modena come out ahead of San Marino on wins alone.
  • Model gives Modena a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Modena Clean Sheet 19%
San Marino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Modena San Marino
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 2
Draws 6 3
Losses 10 25
Goals Scored 1.43 0.57
Goals Conceded 0.93 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2025 Friendly International
Modena vs San Marino
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Modena 85 / 100
San Marino 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Modena San Marino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Modena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: San Marino conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Modena found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: Modena stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Modena VS San Marino
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Modena

(Home)
28 Aug
Cremonese
0 : 3
Modena
22 Aug
Benevento
1 : 2
Modena
15 Aug
Venezia
3 : 2
Modena
08 Aug
Modena
0 : 0
Vis Pesaro
01 Aug
Trento
0 : 1
Modena
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San Marino

(Away)
09 Jun
Azerbaijan
2 : 1
San Marino
05 Jun
San Marino
1 : 2
Bangladesh
31 Mar
San Marino
0 : 0
Andorra
28 Mar
San Marino
1 : 2
Faroe Islands
18 Nov
Romania
7 : 1
San Marino
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