Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Modern Sport vs El Gouna

Egypt Egypt

League Cup Al-Sekka Al-Hadid Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Reda A.
23' Event
Mohsen M.
(Penalty)
30'
Taalab A.

AI Match Summary

El Gouna in this League Cup matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored El Gouna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Modern Sport
40%
Draws
29%
El Gouna
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Modern Sport haven't matched El Gouna's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Cup games in League Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Modern Sport Clean Sheet 68%
El Gouna Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Modern Sport El Gouna
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 12
Draws 15 12
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 0.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2026 Premier League
Modern Sport vs El Gouna
0:0
Feb 6, 2026 Premier League
El Gouna vs Modern Sport
1:1
Jan 17, 2026 League Cup
Modern Sport vs El Gouna
0:2
May 7, 2025 Premier League
El Gouna vs Modern Sport
0:1
Apr 16, 2025 League Cup
El Gouna vs Modern Sport
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Modern Sport Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

El Gouna Compare

Top Goalscorer El Sayed B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Modern Sport 42 / 100
El Gouna 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Modern Sport El Gouna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: El Gouna conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Modern Sport remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Modern Sport's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Modern Sport VS El Gouna
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1El Gaish64117:313
2Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)63219:511
3Enppi63127:510
4Pharco FC63038:109
5Ghazl El Mahallah62224:48
6Al Ahly62047:96
7Ceramica Cleopatra61052:83
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Petrojet650115:515
2El Gouna641110:513
3Wadi Degla631212:610
4National Bank Egypt614111:77
5El Ismaily61235:75
6Modern Sport61233:75
7Pyramids61053:223
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Masry63215:311
2ZED FC63126:410
3Al Ittihad Alexandria61505:28
4Kahrabaa Ismailia615012:118
5Smouha62224:58
6Zamalek62137:97
7Haras El Hodood60244:92