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Modern Sport vs Al Ahly - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

Premier League Al-Sekka Al-Hadid Stadium, Cairo
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Modern Sport host Al Ahly in the Premier League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Modern Sport at 0.86 goals for, 1 against; Al Ahly at 1.62 for, 0.79 against. Head-to-head, Modern Sport have won 1 to Al Ahly's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 9, 2025, ending 2:2. xG projections (0.94 - 1.50) back Al Ahly to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Modern Sport
15%
Draws
44%
Al Ahly
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Ahly

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Ahly lately — more wins on the board than Modern Sport.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Al Ahly taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Modern Sport Clean Sheet 16%
Al Ahly Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Modern Sport Al Ahly
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 12 7
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 0.86 1.62
Goals Conceded 1 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2025 Premier League
Modern Sport vs Al Ahly
2:2
Feb 2, 2025 Premier League
Modern Sport vs Al Ahly
1:3
Aug 17, 2024 Premier League
Al Ahly vs Modern Sport
1:2
Jul 16, 2024 Premier League
Modern Sport vs Al Ahly
1:2
Dec 28, 2023 Super Cup
Al Ahly vs Modern Sport
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Modern Sport 23 / 100
Al Ahly 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Modern Sport Al Ahly

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahly Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Modern Sport scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Modern Sport remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Al Ahly let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Modern Sport VS Al Ahly
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Modern Sport

(Home)
12 Oct
Modern Sport
3 : 2
Enppi
08 Oct
Modern Sport
2 : 0
National Bank Egypt
15 Sept
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 2
Modern Sport
09 Sept
Modern Sport
2 : 1
Wadi Degla
02 Sept
Ceramica Cleopatra
2 : 0
Modern Sport
Page 1 of 6

Al Ahly

(Away)
11 Oct
Zamalek
0 : 2
Al Ahly
07 Oct
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 5
Al Ahly
15 Sept
Al Ahly
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
09 Sept
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
1 : 1
Al Ahly
03 Sept
Al Ahly
1 : 0
Smouha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyramids 6 6 0 0 13:2 18
2 Al Ahly 6 5 1 0 11:3 16
3 Zamalek 6 4 1 1 8:3 13
4 Modern Sport 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
5 Ceramica Cleopatra 6 4 0 2 11:7 12
6 Al Ittihad Alexandria 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
7 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
8 ZED FC 6 2 2 2 5:6 8
9 Petrojet 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
10 Al Qanah 6 1 4 1 6:6 7
11 El Gaish 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
12 Al Masry 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
13 Smouha 6 2 1 3 2:4 7
14 National Bank Egypt 5 2 0 3 4:7 6
15 Wadi Degla 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
16 Enppi 6 1 1 4 8:12 4
17 Abu Qir Semad 5 1 0 4 1:8 3
18 El Gouna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Asyut Petroleum 5 0 2 3 1:5 2
20 Ghazl El Mahallah 6 0 1 5 1:10 1
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation Group)