Sport Picks

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - RS 2023/2024

Kozarska Dubica

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Modrica play Kozarska Dubica in the Prva Liga - RS 2023/2024. Modrica are favorites here. Recently, Modrica averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Kozarska Dubica averaged 0.78 goals scored and 2.72 conceded. In past meetings, Modrica won 3, Kozarska Dubica won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 24, 2024 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.98 for Modrica and 0.99 for Kozarska Dubica. This points to a Modrica double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%

Modrica

24%

Draws

13%

Kozarska Dubica

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Modrica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Modrica picked up more points recently compared to Kozarska Dubica.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.98 vs 0.99 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Modrica Clean Sheet 23%

Kozarska Dubica Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Modrica	Kozarska Dubica
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	11	2
Draws	6	5
Losses	13	25
Goals Scored	1.17	0.78
Goals Conceded	1.63	2.72

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2024 Prva Liga - RS

Modrica vs Kozarska Dubica

Possession: 43% - 52% Cards: 1 - 0

1:1

Oct 7, 2023 Prva Liga - RS

Kozarska Dubica vs Modrica

Possession: 55% - 47% Cards: 0 - 3

2:3

May 7, 2022 Prva Liga - RS

Modrica vs Kozarska Dubica

Possession: 44% - 48% Cards: 0 - 4

2:1

Oct 30, 2021 Prva Liga - RS

Kozarska Dubica vs Modrica

Possession: 55% - 42% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

May 15, 2021 Prva Liga - RS

Modrica vs Kozarska Dubica

Possession: 41% - 50% Cards: 3 - 4

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Modrica Compare

Top Goalscorer Limic D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Kozarska Dubica Compare

Top Goalscorer Bozic M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Modrica 61 / 100

Kozarska Dubica 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Modrica Kozarska Dubica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Modrica Win (1)

Secondary Pick Modrica & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +14.7%

1.82

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Modrica attacking → ← attacking Kozarska Dubica

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Modrica scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Kozarska Dubica let in goals in 94% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Modrica went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kozarska Dubica lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 11

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Radnik Bijeljina	34	21	11	2	63:19	74
2	Laktasi	34	21	4	9	71:30	67
3	Rudar Prijedor	34	16	11	7	59:28	59
4	Leotar	34	17	3	14	46:45	54
5	Zeljeznicar Banja Luka	34	16	4	14	53:43	52
6	Famos Vojkovici	34	15	6	13	48:45	51
7	Kozara	34	13	8	13	52:52	47
8	Mrkonjic Grad	34	13	6	15	44:45	45
9	Slavija	34	13	6	15	41:44	45
10	Sutjeska Foca	34	13	6	15	36:47	45
11	Ljubic Prnjavor	34	14	3	17	38:52	45
12	Nevesinje	34	14	3	17	50:65	45
13	BSK Banja Luka	34	13	5	16	52:46	44
14	Zvornik	34	11	11	12	38:37	44
15	Kozarska Dubica	34	12	7	15	44:57	43
16	Romanija Pale	34	13	4	17	38:58	43
17	Modrica	34	11	6	17	37:57	39
18	Omarska	34	6	4	24	32:72	22