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Modum vs Vestfossen

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2014
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AI Match Summary

Vestfossen in this Division 3 - Group 4 2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vestfossen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Modum
15%
Draws
21%
Vestfossen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Modum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Vestfossen have won more games recently than Modum.
  • Model gives Modum a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Vestfossen have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Modum Clean Sheet 20%
Vestfossen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Modum Vestfossen
Matches Played 38 43
Wins 14 17
Draws 8 3
Losses 16 23
Goals Scored 1.87 2.09
Goals Conceded 1.89 2.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2015 Division 3 - Group 4
Modum vs Vestfossen
0:4
Jun 26, 2015 Division 3 - Group 4
Vestfossen vs Modum
2:1
Aug 16, 2014 Division 3 - Group 4
Modum vs Vestfossen
1:2
May 2, 2014 Division 3 - Group 4
Vestfossen vs Modum
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Modum 67 / 100
Vestfossen 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Modum Vestfossen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Modum Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Modum found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (38 games).

Vestfossen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 43 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Modum went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Modum VS Vestfossen
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Modum

(Home)
24 Oct
Sandefjord 2
2 : 4
Modum
17 Oct
Modum
0 : 4
Vestfossen
10 Oct
Modum
2 : 0
Skarphedin
03 Oct
Tonsberg
4 : 1
Modum
28 Sept
Modum
3 : 0
Baerum 2
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Vestfossen

(Away)
13 Aug
Vestfossen
1 : 5
Mjondalen
25 Jul
Vestfossen
1 : 3
Moss
26 Oct
Vestfossen
9 : 0
Valdres
19 Oct
Brann 2
5 : 1
Vestfossen
12 Oct
Vestfossen
2 : 4
Sogndal 2
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