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MOFA vs Kabati

Kenya Kenya

Super League
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AI Match Summary

The Super League game between MOFA and Kabati finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
MOFA
35%
Draws
46%
Kabati
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kabati

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and MOFA come out ahead of Kabati on wins alone.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
MOFA Clean Sheet 19%
Kabati Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MOFA Kabati
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 13 5
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 1.5 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Super League
MOFA vs Kabati
1:1
Oct 30, 2025 Super League
Kabati vs MOFA
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MOFA 36 / 100
Kabati 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MOFA Kabati

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kabati Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: MOFA scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Kabati's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

MOFA has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

MOFA VS Kabati
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

MOFA

(Home)
13 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kabati
07 Jun
Soy United
0 : 0
MOFA
01 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kibera
28 May
Darajani Gogo
1 : 1
MOFA
24 May
Kisumu All-Stars
1 : 0
MOFA
Page 1 of 6

Kabati

(Away)
13 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kabati
07 Jun
Kabati
2 : 1
Naivas FC
01 Jun
Nairobi City Stars
1 : 2
Kabati
28 May
Kabati
5 : 0
Luanda Villa
24 May
Soy United
2 : 1
Kabati
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)
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