Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MOFA vs Talanta FC

Kenya Kenya

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between MOFA and Talanta FC finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
MOFA
35%
Draws
45%
Talanta FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Talanta FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • MOFA have managed 1.5 goals a game lately — Talanta FC are scoring more at 1.63.
  • Talanta FC are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
MOFA Clean Sheet 13%
Talanta FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MOFA Talanta FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 13 6
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Super League
MOFA vs Talanta FC
3:3
Dec 13, 2025 Super League
Talanta FC vs MOFA
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MOFA 14 / 100
Talanta FC 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MOFA Talanta FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Talanta FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MOFA's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Talanta FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: MOFA stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MOFA VS Talanta FC
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

MOFA

(Home)
13 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kabati
07 Jun
Soy United
0 : 0
MOFA
01 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kibera
28 May
Darajani Gogo
1 : 1
MOFA
24 May
Kisumu All-Stars
1 : 0
MOFA
Page 1 of 6

Talanta FC

(Away)
13 Jun
Gucha Stars
3 : 2
Talanta FC
07 Jun
Talanta FC
5 : 1
Nairobi City Stars
01 Jun
3K FC
3 : 2
Talanta FC
27 May
Talanta FC
2 : 0
Nzoia Sugar
22 May
Talanta FC
4 : 3
Fortune Sacco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)