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MOFA vs Vihiga United Prediction & H2H Stats

Kenya Kenya

Super League
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AI Match Summary

The Super League game between MOFA and Vihiga United finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MOFA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
MOFA
35%
Draws
32%
Vihiga United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Vihiga United haven't matched MOFA's recent run of results.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on MOFA taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors MOFA here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
MOFA Clean Sheet 68%
Vihiga United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MOFA Vihiga United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 13 5
Losses 4 17
Goals Scored 1.5 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Super League
MOFA vs Vihiga United
3:2
Oct 5, 2025 Super League
Vihiga United vs MOFA
0:1
Jun 1, 2025 Super League
MOFA vs Vihiga United
5:0
Oct 12, 2024 Super League
Vihiga United vs MOFA
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MOFA 50 / 100
Vihiga United 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MOFA Vihiga United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOFA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

MOFA's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Vihiga United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

MOFA has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

MOFA VS Vihiga United
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

MOFA

(Home)
13 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kabati
07 Jun
Soy United
0 : 0
MOFA
01 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kibera
28 May
Darajani Gogo
1 : 1
MOFA
24 May
Kisumu All-Stars
1 : 0
MOFA
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Vihiga United

(Away)
13 Jun
Kisumu All-Stars
1 : 0
Vihiga United
07 Jun
Vihiga United
1 : 1
Luanda Villa
01 Jun
Naivas FC
2 : 0
Vihiga United
27 May
Vihiga United
1 : 0
Gucha Stars
23 May
Darajani Gogo
1 : 0
Vihiga United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
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