Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MOFA vs Vihiga United

Kenya Kenya

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between MOFA and Vihiga United finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MOFA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
MOFA
33%
Draws
27%
Vihiga United
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: MOFA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Vihiga United haven't matched MOFA's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on MOFA taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors MOFA here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
MOFA Clean Sheet 68%
Vihiga United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MOFA Vihiga United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 13 5
Losses 4 17
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Super League
MOFA vs Vihiga United
3:2
Oct 5, 2025 Super League
Vihiga United vs MOFA
0:1
Jun 1, 2025 Super League
MOFA vs Vihiga United
5:0
Oct 12, 2024 Super League
Vihiga United vs MOFA
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MOFA 50 / 100
Vihiga United 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MOFA Vihiga United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

MOFA's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Vihiga United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

MOFA has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

MOFA VS Vihiga United
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

MOFA

(Home)
13 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kabati
07 Jun
Soy United
0 : 0
MOFA
01 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kibera
28 May
Darajani Gogo
1 : 1
MOFA
24 May
Kisumu All-Stars
1 : 0
MOFA
Page 1 of 6

Vihiga United

(Away)
13 Jun
Kisumu All-Stars
1 : 0
Vihiga United
07 Jun
Vihiga United
1 : 1
Luanda Villa
01 Jun
Naivas FC
2 : 0
Vihiga United
27 May
Vihiga United
1 : 0
Gucha Stars
23 May
Darajani Gogo
1 : 0
Vihiga United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Migori38256757:2981
23K FC38238762:2677
3Mombasa United382441051:3276
4Equity Bank382111656:2874
5MOFA381616651:3064
6Fortune Sacco381891161:4163
7Naivas FC3817101147:3061
8Talanta FC381691353:4157
9Kibera381581532:3353
10Soy United3814101431:2752
11Nzoia Sugar3812141237:3650
12Gucha Stars381281835:4144
13Luanda Villa381271930:5143
14Kabati381091932:5239
15Kisumu All-Stars381091923:4739
16Nairobi City Stars389121732:4439
17Darajani Gogo381082027:4838
18MCF389101924:4234
19Vihiga United38992029:5530
20Mwatate United38672527:6425
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)