Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mogadishu City vs Heegan

Somalia Somalia

National league
Mogadishu City Logo

Mogadishu City

0 - 1
FT
Heegan Logo

Heegan

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Heegan in this National league matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Heegan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Mogadishu City
15%
Draws
64%
Heegan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Heegan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Heegan lately — more wins on the board than Mogadishu City.
  • Heegan are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Mogadishu City Clean Sheet 15%
Heegan Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mogadishu City Heegan
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 16 20
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.71 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.09 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2026 National league
Mogadishu City vs Heegan
0:1
Jun 3, 2026 National league
Heegan vs Mogadishu City
1:0
May 24, 2025 National league
Heegan vs Mogadishu City
2:2
Feb 9, 2025 National league
Mogadishu City vs Heegan
0:1
Jun 3, 2024 National league
Heegan vs Mogadishu City
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mogadishu City 19 / 100
Heegan 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mogadishu City Heegan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heegan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mogadishu City's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Heegan let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Mogadishu City went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mogadishu City VS Heegan
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mogadishu City

(Home)
12 Sept
Kitara
2 : 0
Mogadishu City
06 Sept
Mogadishu City
1 : 2
Kitara
13 Aug
Mogadishu City
0 : 1
Heegan
09 Aug
Gaadiidka
3 : 1
Mogadishu City
06 Aug
Gantaalaha Afgooye
2 : 4
Mogadishu City
Page 1 of 7

Heegan

(Away)
12 Sept
Heegan
0 : 3
EL Merriekh Bentiu
05 Sept
EL Merriekh Bentiu
1 : 0
Heegan
13 Aug
Mogadishu City
0 : 1
Heegan
08 Aug
Heegan
4 : 0
Jazeera
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)