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Stadium Background

Mogadishu City vs Jubba

Somalia Somalia

National league
Mogadishu City Logo

Mogadishu City

3 - 0
FT
Jubba Logo

Jubba

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mogadishu City in this National league matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mogadishu City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Mogadishu City
15%
Draws
0%
Jubba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mogadishu City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Mogadishu City have won more games recently than Jubba.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Mogadishu City taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Mogadishu City Clean Sheet 20%
Jubba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mogadishu City Jubba
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 14 2
Draws 7 0
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1.63 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.07 4.36
Expected Goals (xG) 3.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 National league
Jubba vs Mogadishu City
0:4
Apr 29, 2026 National league
Mogadishu City vs Jubba
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mogadishu City 85 / 100
Jubba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mogadishu City Jubba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mogadishu City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jubba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 22 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Jubba's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Mogadishu City's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mogadishu City VS Jubba
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 5.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Mogadishu City

(Home)
12 Sept
Kitara
2 : 0
Mogadishu City
06 Sept
Mogadishu City
1 : 2
Kitara
13 Aug
Mogadishu City
0 : 1
Heegan
09 Aug
Gaadiidka
3 : 1
Mogadishu City
06 Aug
Gantaalaha Afgooye
2 : 4
Mogadishu City
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Jubba

(Away)
12 Aug
Jubba
1 : 5
Gantaalaha Afgooye
08 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Jubba
20 Jul
Jubba
2 : 7
Badbaado
16 Jul
Raadsan
8 : 2
Jubba
12 Jul
Jubba
1 : 7
Dekedda
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)