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Mogadishu City vs Singida Black Stars - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CECAFA Kagame Cup
Mogadishu City Logo

Mogadishu City

1 - 4
FT
Singida Black Stars Logo

Singida Black Stars

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Bangoura N.
13' Event
Henry D.
16' Event
Tegisi M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-4. This leg finished 1-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Mogadishu City
15%
Draws
65%
Singida Black Stars
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Singida Black Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mogadishu City lately — more wins on the board than Singida Black Stars.
  • Model gives Singida Black Stars a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Mogadishu City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Singida Black Stars, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Mogadishu City Clean Sheet 10%
Singida Black Stars Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mogadishu City Singida Black Stars
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 17 15
Draws 8 3
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.74 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 CECAFA Kagame Cup
Mogadishu City vs Singida Black Stars
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mogadishu City Compare

Top Goalscorer Bangoura N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Singida Black Stars Compare

Top Goalscorer Henry D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tegisi M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mogadishu City 10 / 100
Singida Black Stars 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mogadishu City Singida Black Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Singida Black Stars Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Mogadishu City scored in 79% of their last 34 games.

Singida Black Stars's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Mogadishu City has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mogadishu City VS Singida Black Stars
1 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mogadishu City

(Home)
12 Sept
Kitara
2 : 0
Mogadishu City
06 Sept
Mogadishu City
1 : 2
Kitara
13 Aug
Mogadishu City
0 : 1
Heegan
09 Aug
Gaadiidka
3 : 1
Mogadishu City
06 Aug
Gantaalaha Afgooye
2 : 4
Mogadishu City
Page 1 of 7

Singida Black Stars

(Away)
09 Oct
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 1
Singida Black Stars
13 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 0
Al-Ghazala
09 Sept
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Singida Black Stars
06 Sept
Al-Ghazala
1 : 7
Singida Black Stars
01 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 2
Namungo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
2 Vipers 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
3 APR 3 2 0 1 5:7 6
4 Garde Republicaine 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamus 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Simba 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Singida Black Stars 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
4 Mogadishu City 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayon Sport 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Al Hilal Omdurman 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
3 Tusker 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 KVZ 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams