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Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Al Ahli

Jordan Jordan

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Moghayer Al Sarhan play Al Ahli in the Premier League 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Moghayer Al Sarhan averaged 0.87 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. Al Ahli averaged 1.12 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. In past meetings, Moghayer Al Sarhan won 2, Al Ahli won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 8, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Moghayer Al Sarhan and 0.93 for Al Ahli. This points to a Al Ahli double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Moghayer Al Sarhan
32%
Draws
41%
Al Ahli
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Al Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Moghayer Al Sarhan picked up more points recently compared to Al Ahli.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Moghayer Al Sarhan Clean Sheet 24%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moghayer Al Sarhan Al Ahli
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 10
Draws 6 11
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.87 1.12
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.36

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 Premier League
Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Al Ahli
0:0
Nov 8, 2024 Shield Cup
Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Al Ahli
4:1
Aug 8, 2024 Premier League
Al Ahli vs Moghayer Al Sarhan
3:1
Apr 5, 2024 Premier League
Al Ahli vs Moghayer Al Sarhan
2:2
Sep 16, 2023 Premier League
Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Al Ahli
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moghayer Al Sarhan 29 / 100
Al Ahli 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moghayer Al Sarhan Al Ahli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Ahli or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Moghayer Al Sarhan attacking → ← attacking Al Ahli

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moghayer Al Sarhan scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Al Ahli let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Moghayer Al Sarhan went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Al Ahli lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 41
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Hussein22165153:1553
2Al Wehdat22164247:1852
3Al-Faisaly Amman22912130:1639
4Al Ramtha2296726:2333
5Al Salt2295824:2132
6Al Jazeera Amman2286833:2930
7Al Ahli22751024:3226
8Shabab Al Ordon22741128:3325
9Al Sareeh2249926:3321
10Aqaba22551223:4720
11Maan22531420:3918
12Moghayer Al Sarhan22341516:4413