Sport Picks
Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Al Faisaly Amman Prediction & H2H Stats
Jordan
Jordan Cup 2024/2025 
Match Events
8'
8'
Al Arsa A.
(Penalty)
20'
20'
Abu Amara M.
(Penalty)
45'
45'
Al Zawahreh M.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-3, with Al Faisaly Amman advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Faisaly Amman
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Al Faisaly Amman come out ahead of Moghayer Al Sarhan on wins alone.
- 65% — that's where the model lands on Al Faisaly Amman taking it.
- Al Faisaly Amman arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Al Faisaly Amman, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Al Faisaly Amman here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Moghayer Al Sarhan Clean Sheet 18%
Al Faisaly Amman Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moghayer Al Sarhan | Al Faisaly Amman |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 5 | 22 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 19 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.79 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2025 Premier League
Al Faisaly Amman vs Moghayer Al Sarhan
3:0
Dec 24, 2024 Jordan Cup
Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Al Faisaly Amman
1:3
Dec 6, 2024 Premier League
Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Al Faisaly Amman
1:4
Sep 7, 2024 Shield Cup
Al Faisaly Amman vs Moghayer Al Sarhan
3:0
May 10, 2024 Premier League
Al Faisaly Amman vs Moghayer Al Sarhan
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Moghayer Al Sarhan Compare
Top Goalscorer Al Zawahreh M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4
Al Faisaly Amman Compare
Top Goalscorer Kalbouneh B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Moghayer Al Sarhan 10 / 100
Al Faisaly Amman 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Moghayer Al Sarhan Al Faisaly Amman
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Faisaly Amman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Moghayer Al Sarhan scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.
Al Faisaly Amman has conceded goals in 58% of their last 33 outings.
Moghayer Al Sarhan has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Al Faisaly Amman
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Moghayer Al Sarhan
(Home) 17 Oct
Moghayer Al Sarhan
0 : 7 Al Karmal
02 May
Al Faisaly Amman
3 : 0 Moghayer Al Sarhan
26 Apr
Al Salt
1 : 0 Moghayer Al Sarhan
22 Apr
Al Wehdat
3 : 1 Moghayer Al Sarhan
18 Apr
Moghayer Al Sarhan
2 : 1 Maan
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Moghayer Al Sarhan
0 : 7 Al Karmal
18 Apr
Moghayer Al Sarhan
2 : 1 Maan
03 Apr
Moghayer Al Sarhan
0 : 1 Al Sareeh
07 Mar
Moghayer Al Sarhan
0 : 1 Al Jazeera Amman
22 Feb
Moghayer Al Sarhan
1 : 2 Aqaba
Page 1 of 4
Al Faisaly Amman
(Away) 20 Sept
Al Buqaa
0 : 4 Al Faisaly Amman
16 Sept
Al Rayyan
4 : 3 Al Faisaly Amman
11 Sept
Al Faisaly Amman
2 : 0 Doqarah
04 Sept
Al Wehdat
0 : 0 Al Faisaly Amman
28 Aug
Al Faisaly Amman
2 : 1 Al Hussein
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Al Buqaa
0 : 4 Al Faisaly Amman
16 Sept
Al Rayyan
4 : 3 Al Faisaly Amman
04 Sept
Al Wehdat
0 : 0 Al Faisaly Amman
08 May
Al Hussein
1 : 0 Al Faisaly Amman
24 Apr
Al Ahli
2 : 2 Al Faisaly Amman
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Al Ramtha 1
Al Jazeera Amman 0
Al Ahli 2
Shabab Al Ordon 1
Al Wehdat 5
Maan 1
Sama Al Sarhan 2
Al Sareeh 1
Moghayer Al Sarhan 4
Sahab 2
Aqaba 0
Al Faisaly Amman 5
Al Jalil 1
Al Salt 4
Al Arabi Irbid (Jordan) 0
Al Hussein 2
Quarter-finals
Al Ramtha 1
Al Ahli 2
Al Wehdat 3
Sama Al Sarhan 0
Moghayer Al Sarhan 1
Al Faisaly Amman 3
Al Salt 1
Al Hussein 2
Semi-finals
Al Ahli 0
Al Wehdat 1
Al Faisaly Amman 0
Al Hussein 1
Final
Al Wehdat 1
Al Hussein 0
