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Mogi das Cruzes SP W vs Santos W

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mogi das Cruzes SP W play Santos W in the Paulista Women 2011. Santos W are favorites here. Recently, Mogi das Cruzes SP W averaged 0.94 goals scored and 6.44 conceded. Santos W averaged 3.35 goals scored and 0.92 conceded. In past meetings, Mogi das Cruzes SP W won 0, Santos W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 11, 2011 ended 12:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Mogi das Cruzes SP W and 1.80 for Santos W. This points to a Santos W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Mogi das Cruzes SP W
15%
Draws
71%
Santos W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santos W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Mogi das Cruzes SP W picked up more points recently compared to Santos W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.80 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Mogi das Cruzes SP W Clean Sheet 11%
Santos W Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mogi das Cruzes SP W Santos W
Matches Played 18 51
Wins 3 29
Draws 1 10
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.94 3.35
Goals Conceded 6.44 0.92

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2011 Paulista Women
Santos W vs Mogi das Cruzes SP W
12:0
Apr 17, 2011 Paulista Women
Mogi das Cruzes SP W vs Santos W
1:10

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mogi das Cruzes SP W 15 / 100
Santos W 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mogi das Cruzes SP W Santos W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Santos W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +133.4%
16.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mogi das Cruzes SP W attacking → ← attacking Santos W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mogi das Cruzes SP W scored in 50% of their last 18 games.

Santos W let in goals in 61% of their last 51 matches.

Games between these two average 11.50 goals.

Mogi das Cruzes SP W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Santos W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 97
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rio Preto W16141170:1043
2Ferroviaria W16122253:1538
3Francana W16110536:2033
4Botucatu W1692546:929
5America Sao Manuel W1683537:2227
6Sao Judas Tadeu W16501122:3715
7Marilia W16401229:6312
8Piracicaba W16311218:4810
9Paulista W1611147:944
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sao Jose W181521108:947
2Santos W18151299:1246
3Centro Olimpico W18130580:1739
4Portuguesa W18112551:1835
5CA Juventus W1894555:2231
6Taboao da Serra W18801033:4524
7Taubate W18441019:5216
8Mogi das Cruzes SP W18311417:11610
9Sao Bernardo W18241220:6910
10Sao Vicente W18101713:1353