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Mogi Mirim vs Santacruzense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Monteiro M.
82' Event
Cambuhy L.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Mogi Mirim in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mogi Mirim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mogi Mirim
6%
Draws
4%
Santacruzense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mogi Mirim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santacruzense lately — more wins on the board than Mogi Mirim.
  • Win probability leans Mogi Mirim's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Paulista B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Mogi Mirim Clean Sheet 68%
Santacruzense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mogi Mirim Santacruzense
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 6 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.63 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Paulista B
Mogi Mirim vs Santacruzense
1:0
May 10, 2026 Paulista B
Santacruzense vs Mogi Mirim
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mogi Mirim Compare

Top Goalscorer Monteiro M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Santacruzense Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mogi Mirim 95 / 100
Santacruzense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mogi Mirim Santacruzense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santacruzense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 35 matches.

Mogi Mirim went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mogi Mirim found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Mogi Mirim VS Santacruzense
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mogi Mirim

(Home)
20 Jun
Matonense
2 : 1
Mogi Mirim
13 Jun
Mogi Mirim
1 : 0
Santacruzense
07 Jun
Catanduvense
0 : 6
Mogi Mirim
30 May
Independente SP
4 : 1
Mogi Mirim
23 May
Mogi Mirim
3 : 1
Sao Carlos
Page 1 of 6

Santacruzense

(Away)
04 Jul
America SP
3 : 0
Santacruzense
28 Jun
Santacruzense
0 : 0
America SP
20 Jun
Santacruzense
1 : 1
Sao Carlos
13 Jun
Mogi Mirim
1 : 0
Santacruzense
07 Jun
Independente SP
0 : 1
Santacruzense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jose Bonifacio EC1064017:622
2America SP1054113:719
3Assisense1035217:1514
4Tupa1041514:1613
5Riopretano101459:167
6Santa Fe SP1020810:206
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independente SP1080237:724
2Matonense1071228:1022
3Sao Carlos1043319:1115
4Santacruzense1042419:1314
5Mogi Mirim1040615:1512
6Catanduvense1000104:660
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo SP1072113:623
2Paulinense105059:1615
3Audax-SP1051415:913
4Paulinia FU1031611:1410
5Votoraty SP1021712:197
6Guarulhos1051419:154
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Itaqua1081121:625
2Maua FC1044220:1516
3Uniao Mogi1052314:1314
4Manthiqueira1042417:1714
5Mauaense1033410:1012
6Barcelona SP1000105:260
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)