Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mogila vs Arsimi

North Macedonia North Macedonia

Macedonian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Kaba L.
27' Event
Gaye E.
44' Event
Jusufi F.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-12. This leg finished 0-12.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mogila
22%
Draws
78%
Arsimi
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Arsimi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Arsimi have won more games recently than Mogila.
  • Model gives Arsimi a 78% chance of winning this.
  • Arsimi arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Arsimi, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Mogila Clean Sheet 10%
Arsimi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mogila Arsimi
Matches Played 4 30
Wins 0 12
Draws 0 6
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 0.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 6 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2026 Macedonian Cup
Mogila vs Arsimi
0:12

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mogila Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Arsimi Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaba L.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Gaye E.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mogila 10 / 100
Arsimi 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mogila Arsimi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arsimi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 12.00 goals per match.

Arsimi has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Mogila scored in 25% of their last 4 games.

Arsimi lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mogila VS Arsimi
0 Goals Scored 1.25
12 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 25%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mogila

(Home)
24 Sept
Mogila
0 : 12
Arsimi
16 Aug
Mogila
0 : 6
Sileks
21 Aug
Mogila
2 : 3
Sileks
03 Sept
Mogila
0 : 3
Rabotnicki

Arsimi

(Away)
24 Sept
Mogila
0 : 12
Arsimi
21 Sept
Struga
6 : 0
Arsimi
11 Sept
Arsimi
2 : 2
Shkendija Tetovo
07 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0
Arsimi
29 Aug
Arsimi
0 : 0
FK Skopje
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Ovce Pole 0
Vardar 5
BVK Konjare 0
Bashkimi 5
Studenicani 1
Pelister 6
Venec Negotino 0
Brera Strumica 8
Vellazerimi 0
Makedonija GP 14
Vardar Negotino -
Rabotnicki -
Kamenica Sasa 1
Shkupi 0
Teteks 1
Bregalnica Stip 4
Kozuf Gevgelija 0
FK Skopje 1
Detonit Plackovica 1
Shkendija Haracine 3
Novaci 1
Ohrid 0
Osogovo 1
Belasica Strumica 3
Krosu Sport Bitola -
Tikves -
Mogila 0
Arsimi 12
Pobeda Valandovo 1
Struga 10
Sileks -
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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